Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver close over $40 at the end of 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf195565ddfb4c60f7ce956732aa4b2a8597b94b8a27812d324c87e330894b64a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 6c | 22,842$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.11 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…c932backed Yes | 23c | 16,681$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 1c | 10,822$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31c…7830backed No | 79c | 9,074$7,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc888…838bbacked Yes | 20c | 5,500$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…5c35backed Yes | 2c | 4,789$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…2307backed Yes | 1c | 4,714$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 8c | 4,243$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…7d6abacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…11ffbacked Yes | 5c | 3,968$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 78c | 3,704$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…4e7abacked Yes | 25c | 3,621$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 12c | 3,557$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked No | 80c | 3,337$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…3ee1backed Yes | 7c | 2,608$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64cf…8a8abacked Yes | 17c | 2,603$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…2f33backed Yes | 3c | 2,489$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 2,451$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…fc15backed Yes | 8c | 2,400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 2,363$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 76c | 2,355$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd5…88e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,253$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…61cabacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…50e4backed No | 71c | 1,955$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 78c | 1,863$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…a221backed Yes | 2c | 1,832$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…d711backed No | 78c | 1,830$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 4c | 1,750$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…ccf4backed No | 76c | 1,709$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…c1cebacked No | 77c | 1,560$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…8bc3backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…6f01backed Yes | 22c | 1,499$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 25c | 1,495$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…8b55backed Yes | 7c | 1,459$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…5885backed Yes | 11c | 1,450$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 6c | 1,187$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…282fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,151$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8282…06a1backed Yes | 8c | 1,051$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…c56fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,003$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8e95backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…12dcbacked No | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe36…80c0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b8…daffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 3c | 963$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce64…b8f5backed Yes | 10c | 782.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd75…83d3backed Yes | 13c | 738.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…2323backed Yes | 10c | 616.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7586backed No | 77c | 601.54$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 76c | 543.93$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…2748backed No | 77c | 510.06$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…0b07backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…8476backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb6…ea33backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…ef60backed Yes | 22c | 477.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…7393backed Yes | 10c | 436.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153f…eaa1backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…8aa7backed Yes | 24c | 424.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 70c | 410.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 4c | 405.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 7c | 356.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…582abacked Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7598…b535backed Yes | 3c | 328.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 77c | 282$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…4a34backed Yes | 4c | 281.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…3da9backed Yes | 10c | 280$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 6c | 262.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…0af3backed No | 77c | 255.5$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…0adbbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…b59cbacked Yes | 5c | 240$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 24c | 216.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…745ebacked Yes | 12c | 216.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed No | 74c | 206.56$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…60cdbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…3933backed Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked Yes | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…c9f4backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…4160backed No | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…71f5backed Yes | 24c | 160.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…e4efbacked Yes | 24c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -72%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd1…db7dbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed No | 78c | 131.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e29…9cf8backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…a1cabacked No | 77c | 129.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…8a53backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…7545backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…f4d7backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…7819backed Yes | 10c | 105.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…380abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…1249backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…994dbacked No | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…6759backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.