World Politics · resolved market
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4017c3efc414e667ebed0389548a6e21c9eccc856d70a032a25e85986f85c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $660,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $703,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $660,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8db1…8269backed Yes | 16c | 76,478$11,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,935.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x956e…f324backed Yes | 12c | 65,130$8,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,012.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 77c | 35,303$27,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,237.63 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 16c | 31,021$4,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 80c | 16,123$12,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 77c | 14,162$10,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.93 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…c133backed Yes | 24c | 12,861$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 72c | 11,987$8,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.79 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…d9cebacked Yes | 34c | 11,259$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 67c | 9,662$6,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.61 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 74c | 9,519$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 26c | 9,340$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.05 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 78c | 9,186$7,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.73 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…fdddbacked Yes | 3c | 8,944$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 76c | 8,000$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.25 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…8e6cbacked Yes | 18c | 7,906$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 28c | 6,294$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 31c | 5,792$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e9…c658backed Yes | 6c | 5,453$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.72 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…a735backed Yes | 27c | 5,200$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 80c | 5,003$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…6308backed No | 57c | 4,612$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…96b1backed Yes | 19c | 4,600$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2504…9f83backed No | 68c | 4,567$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…3fe0backed Yes | 24c | 4,237$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 17c | 4,200$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.12 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 27c | 4,200$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…38bfbacked Yes | 21c | 3,951$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 72c | 3,898$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…6e65backed No | 72c | 3,639$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0394…3ef9backed Yes | 23c | 3,480$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 77c | 3,323$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.79 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…7a1bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,178$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 79c | 2,989$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.38 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…f0ddbacked Yes | 33c | 2,937$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 29c | 2,898$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.97 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…29c3backed Yes | 21c | 2,833$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked No | 70c | 2,823$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked No | 67c | 2,576$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.01 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 2,377$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.58 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,257$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.72 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 2,250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…1618backed Yes | 27c | 2,173$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 12c | 2,170$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…c02fbacked Yes | 22c | 2,145$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2da…85a4backed Yes | 10c | 2,110$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…6291backed Yes | 31c | 2,090$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…785fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,051$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf364…acafbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 21c | 1,717$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked No | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,596$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.54 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 59c | 1,592$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.86 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…23a3backed No | 67c | 1,484$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 80c | 1,400$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.38 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…8c11backed No | 73c | 1,354$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…e6b2backed Yes | 15c | 1,303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…1d73backed Yes | 15c | 1,293$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 16c | 1,223$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 1,169$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.67 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…b3cdbacked Yes | 16c | 1,154$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2395…3b9ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,128$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…6ec9backed Yes | 28c | 1,077$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…eccabacked Yes | 22c | 1,063$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…19f1backed Yes | 18c | 1,044$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…8594backed Yes | 22c | 1,017$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 21c | 994.68$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.46 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…4d60backed Yes | 32c | 951.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…913bbacked No | 78c | 925.15$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da0…12fbbacked Yes | 15c | 914.28$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 21c | 907.54$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes | 26c | 845.66$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…30c2backed Yes | 50c | 828.78$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…fec9backed Yes | 16c | 773.02$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad9…d1f4backed Yes | 6c | 756.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 697.5$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Yes | 17c | 666$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…6060backed Yes | 21c | 655.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed No | 69c | 600.35$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.11 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed No | 77c | 599$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 25c | 588.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…07cebacked No | 76c | 569.28$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 76c | 515.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1b…c92fbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…ea74backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Yes | 25c | 480.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed Yes | 39c | 464.57$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.81 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 18c | 450$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…41a7backed No | 72c | 414.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.07 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 21c | 377.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…425bbacked Yes | 23c | 334.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 69c | 328.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad5…e584backed Yes | 30c | 323.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe63c…5becbacked Yes | 33c | 306.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.