AI · resolved market
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa02778570805dfba88f6868614e4498bbdb41615e25d8e226e002427b33715a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0785…22f3backed Yes | 21c | 8,771$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +572.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 73c | 6,804$4,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 20c | 3,819$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…d3c0backed No | 32c | 2,948$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 60c | 2,934$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.85 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 16c | 2,746$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.33 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…e14cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,634$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69da…f98cbacked No | 78c | 1,918$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed Yes | 31c | 1,858$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…91cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,680$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 50c | 1,566$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f18cbacked Yes | 49c | 1,543$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 54c | 1,455$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.05 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…8e4fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,406$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 51c | 1,300$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 70c | 1,213$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 17c | 1,155$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 57c | 1,058$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…aefebacked No | 33c | 1,010$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…2c4cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,010$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…0cf7backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 19cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 77c | 970.35$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…b4febacked No | 60c | 967.96$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 44c | 899.83$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 40c | 874.32$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.48 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1115…6dc0backed Yes | 7c | 850.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 1c | 789.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…6ab4backed Yes | 27c | 739.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 38c | 712.77$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 17c | 650$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 59c | 639.23$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 20c | 633.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 593.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…4263backed No | 23c | 437.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +337.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…672ebacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…64ddbacked No | 29c | 424.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6107…6d97backed Yes | 65c | 385$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…7453backed No | 64c | 357.93$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…2f14backed Yes | 30c | 332.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…f01cbacked Yes | 11c | 328.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bc…577dbacked No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…5985backed Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…360fbacked Yes | 7c | 289.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 34c | 286.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…e74ebacked Yes | 76c | 285$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 43c | 282.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa2…0204backed No | 52c | 281.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…1fb9backed No | 36c | 277.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…5d6fbacked No | 55c | 274.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004d…665bbacked No | 40c | 258.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf178…661dbacked No | 43c | 250.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…ffdbbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…33f5backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…f3f1backed Yes | 60c | 249.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa8…4ad5backed No | 41c | 244.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…ebccbacked No | 36c | 244.14$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…01adbacked No | 42c | 236.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146b…2e37backed Yes | 71c | 225.69$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…9b39backed No | 46c | 218.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd295…a832backed Yes | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 63c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.82 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…18acbacked Yes | 6c | 199.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 199.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 6c | 191.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…b9bcbacked No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…e80fbacked Yes | 56c | 180.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…456dbacked No | 51c | 177.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91c…f09bbacked Yes | 50c | 177.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…be2cbacked Yes | 20c | 177$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…298bbacked No | 40c | 173.95$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…5003backed Yes | 51c | 173.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a6…aa5ebacked No | 51c | 173.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4a…2f8bbacked No | 54c | 168$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…5497backed No | 60c | 166.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…28c0backed Yes | 39c | 166.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 76c | 165.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5d…07c4backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…d6c9backed Yes | 50c | 163$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0901…5ec2backed No | 49c | 160$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 63c | 159.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8111…489dbacked Yes | 63c | 159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 57c | 153.07$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e63…3600backed Yes | 64c | 152.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed No | 55c | 152.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd726…ec9ebacked No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5456…2d0dbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…83dabacked Yes | 70c | 147.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd024…b64cbacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…67d6backed Yes | 50c | 146$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb810…b043backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9e…bc2bbacked Yes | 17c | 144.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…e27bbacked Yes | 37c | 144$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 69c | 143.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…bbddbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6b…fc17backed Yes | 52c | 141$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…34ddbacked Yes | 72c | 139.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 30c | 137.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.