World Politics · resolved market
Yoon in jail before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd330cae61b17c8e88dc1376d7de966f39387427bdac9d6d100f2a1d92947e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,470,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,038,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,470,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe39f…e4bdbacked Yes | 11c | 97,939$10,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,334.66 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 3c | 60,101$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.17 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da0…deb5backed No | 76c | 48,303$36,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,592.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…c50cbacked Yes | 24c | 48,303$11,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,592.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 41,214$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.8 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked Yes | 26c | 40,305$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,544.01 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x761d…0687backed Yes | 3c | 39,719$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.08 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 14c | 37,561$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,229.91 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…ffd9backed Yes | 8c | 37,506$2,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.96 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 12c | 32,343$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.26 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…09e0backed Yes | 1c | 30,584$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked Yes | 6c | 30,579$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…13d9backed Yes | 18c | 29,787$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 4c | 26,656$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.59 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14d2…71a1backed Yes | 20c | 25,277$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 24,644$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.37 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 9c | 20,887$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.85 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 35c | 20,394$7,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,087.51 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 22c | 20,287$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.94 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 10c | 15,917$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.16 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed No | 50c | 15,876$7,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,929.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 14,228$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 5c | 13,691$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.93 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked Yes | 29c | 12,350$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,627.67 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…57fdbacked Yes | 5c | 12,111$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 5c | 11,993$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +202.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 14c | 11,144$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.11 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed Yes | 3c | 11,114$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 11c | 10,993$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.78 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…f2f0backed Yes | 6c | 10,460$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e14abacked Yes | 7c | 10,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 4c | 9,960$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 8,841$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.98 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 7,699$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 14c | 7,516$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…d93abacked Yes | 5c | 7,503$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes | 4c | 7,237$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 7,190$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a45…d5f8backed Yes | 19c | 5,816$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.54 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -95.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Yes | 5c | 5,573$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…627ebacked No | 76c | 5,547$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…9f51backed Yes | 5c | 5,500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +953.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 10c | 5,342$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Yes | 26c | 4,829$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 55c | 4,769$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…b294backed Yes | 60c | 4,513$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…9091backed Yes | 5c | 4,291$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…b15ebacked Yes | 10c | 4,204$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes | 1c | 3,684$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c5…e569backed Yes | 7c | 3,623$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes | 19c | 3,449$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f10…0f6bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,318$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 3c | 3,241$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…2380backed No | 78c | 3,057$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…a12abacked Yes | 8c | 2,987$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed Yes | 6c | 2,809$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…bfd4backed Yes | 6c | 2,600$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc152…e378backed No | 20c | 2,552$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…fb63backed Yes | 4c | 2,404$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,348$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…a167backed Yes | 5c | 2,330$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 5c | 2,148$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…c078backed Yes | 7c | 2,101$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce11…7153backed Yes | 4c | 2,063$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 4c | 2,059$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…e288backed No | 10c | 2,024$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.39 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…7ca4backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,952$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6591backed Yes | 7c | 1,925$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 42c | 1,900$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.23 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 67c | 1,732$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.98 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 27c | 1,679$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.52 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…7a15backed Yes | 6c | 1,518$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 22cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,471$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,446$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 72c | 1,440$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.03 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…d0f3backed Yes | 12c | 1,362$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 8c | 1,334$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…cd1dbacked Yes | 43c | 1,316$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…b496backed Yes | 7c | 1,300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 11c | 1,264$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…30c2backed Yes | 4c | 1,259$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d76…6dacbacked Yes | 6c | 1,207$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 20cpaid | +223.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 53c | 1,128$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.03 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…87c5backed No | 79c | 1,118$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 1,112$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.06 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…a9b4backed Yes | 27c | 1,108$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,102$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 41c | 1,088$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.77 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7eaabacked Yes | 25c | 1,017$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…29e1backed Yes | 11c | 987$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 3c | 955.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa674…a5f7backed Yes | 15c | 881.42$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 73c | 835.69$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.38 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed Yes | 8c | 824.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…7368backed Yes | 1c | 823.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…4784backed Yes | 12c | 805.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed Yes | 72c | 804.53$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed No | 25c | 789.07$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…14a4backed Yes | 2c | 787.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.