Us Politics · resolved market
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3ece9fd2b3ec7bc3c1c0e2ba034f42ccbe20fe65b920ff8441c1c6714031528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 62c | 31,482$19,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,091.64 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked No | 72c | 16,396$11,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…42debacked Yes | 29c | 13,000$3,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.22 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 79c | 11,826$9,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.23 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 66c | 8,742$5,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.82 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 39c | 8,670$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.36 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 69c | 8,535$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.53 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed Yes | 35c | 8,084$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.76 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 60c | 8,057$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.14 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…4e58backed Yes | 36c | 6,920$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,486.76 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…695bbacked Yes | 42c | 6,382$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 66c | 6,272$4,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…5c91backed Yes | 28c | 6,243$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed No | 74c | 6,213$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.12 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 63c | 6,000$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.85 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 38c | 5,857$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.53 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked Yes | 36c | 4,735$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.38 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 60c | 4,287$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.89 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 36c | 4,212$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.01 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 36c | 4,167$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.81 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 72c | 4,133$2,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.54 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 74c | 4,070$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 58c | 3,957$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.78 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked No | 62c | 3,760$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 32c | 3,571$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.69 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 69c | 3,526$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 64c | 3,191$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.06 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed No | 79c | 3,091$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 29c | 2,750$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 36c | 2,747$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.97 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,724$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.6 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 38c | 2,685$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.51 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 21c | 2,641$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.06 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 30c | 2,610$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.5 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 72c | 2,586$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.42 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 33c | 2,455$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 60c | 2,347$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Yes | 47c | 2,336$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Yes | 55c | 2,096$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 32c | 2,033$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.74 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 65c | 2,005$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.49 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…2418backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 40c | 1,945$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.39 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,864$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.46 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 63c | 1,850$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.19 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,849$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.55 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 29c | 1,810$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 67c | 1,784$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.38 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfb…86d5backed Yes | 57c | 1,751$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…b2a6backed Yes | 38c | 1,715$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 45c | 1,654$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.76 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 21c | 1,632$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…9fc2backed Yes | 41c | 1,574$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 31c | 1,501$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.31 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…e844backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…5525backed Yes | 39c | 1,474$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,444$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.42 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 55c | 1,428$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.33 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…4814backed Yes | 14c | 1,414$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 34c | 1,321$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 26c | 1,275$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.5 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…72debacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 1c | 1,224$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…a73dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,174$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Yes | 38c | 1,111$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 62c | 1,106$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.14 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked No | 60c | 1,100$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…6365backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…0cc5backed Yes | 31c | 1,098$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 25c | 1,092$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 42c | 1,020$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.32 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…aa8bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,014$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…0cb3backed Yes | 26c | 1,005$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…d7e3backed Yes | 36c | 989.5$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Yes | 31c | 974.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 11c | 964.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed Yes | 38c | 930.57$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.38 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 37c | 904.97$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.78 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 60c | 892.41$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.72 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 35c | 886.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.44 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 42c | 886$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 72c | 880$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 38c | 855.26$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.1 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 35c | 848.52$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 842$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…af53backed Yes | 40c | 806.09$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…5f95backed Yes | 5c | 794$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 777.51$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.64 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 59c | 760.57$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.89 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 43c | 755.79$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…26bdbacked Yes | 40c | 751.92$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…b693backed No | 70c | 750$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…9c3cbacked Yes | 3c | 746.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Yes | 27c | 728$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…5f71backed Yes | 1c | 714.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e70…2f06backed Yes | 38c | 713.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 37c | 693.01$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.49 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.