AI · resolved market
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c893ef6090c6f5a430c0d5fe1d5686ab80229f50fed4be54a436f46e590065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 0c | 10,180$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 976.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 64c | 666.22$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 602.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 549.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 36c | 402.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 32c | 374.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 29c | 366.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 5c | 353.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 36c | 287.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe191…b901backed No | 69c | 212.86$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 20c | 207.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 187.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Yes | 58c | 172.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 34c | 168.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…f4e3backed Yes | 20c | 152.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed No | 70c | 142.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…3490backed No | 80c | 125.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 68c | 123.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 30c | 109.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…5544backed No | 62c | 109.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 37c | 98.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…10e4backed No | 59c | 82.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 26c | 81.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…28e0backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…511ebacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…6b37backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…40c4backed No | 67c | 59.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 34c | 59.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed No | 61c | 48.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…91c0backed No | 64c | 46.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be1…b701backed Yes | 59c | 42.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301c…3660backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed No | 30c | 39.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 53c | 37.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…06f7backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…5f23backed Yes | 51c | 29.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed No | 68c | 29.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…080ebacked No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…8598backed No | 76c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed No | 61c | 25.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7478…4003backed No | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x665a…8f47backed No | 63c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked Yes | 49c | 20.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…7c90backed No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.