MLB · resolved market
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02ad72cfdbaee34aa80cd6d264bf8b9304e4f349ecbdccb0d13574ea650c475f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 35c | 2,692$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.85 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d618backed Yes | 4c | 2,498$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 72c | 1,621$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.04 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed No | 72c | 1,189$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…c117backed Yes | 1c | 841.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9223…50eebacked Yes | 2c | 581.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc924…567abacked No | 78c | 554.27$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 411$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8286…5af4backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 339.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.39 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 207.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 17c | 165.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…c4fabacked Yes | 25c | 147.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 79c | 136$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Yes | 16c | 127.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 106.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…5b50backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 22c | 67.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 21c | 66.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c0…511ebacked No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…74c5backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…0570backed Yes | 21c | 57.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a8…e99dbacked No | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd54…7098backed No | 79c | 39.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a3…041bbacked Yes | 38c | 37.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 61c | 37.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b7…5010backed No | 67c | 36.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…f72abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…d65abacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4de…8a9abacked No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.