World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b415f8ca8304733e842b3801c93bc1f3a6d06821d560e82fc14aea2f01c8ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $886,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $728,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $886,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc2d…8cd1backed Yes | 51c | 124,336$63,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,392.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +201.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…3b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 51,959$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 10c | 44,894$4,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,674 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +391.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 5c | 43,668$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed No | 28c | 42,482$11,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,626.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 19c | 38,027$7,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.65 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 35c | 24,798$8,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,203.64 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed No | 80c | 24,091$19,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.34 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…5837backed Yes | 2c | 22,849$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c93…4e2fbacked No | 57c | 19,556$11,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f68…2815backed Yes | 4c | 17,845$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed Yes | 41c | 16,051$6,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.31 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 37c | 11,002$4,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,891.44 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8425…be0abacked Yes | 42c | 10,129$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…5badbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,887 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +313.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…75c9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +239.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 72c | 9,727$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,985.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…bf18backed Yes | 69c | 9,667$6,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,672.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 14c | 8,077$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.58 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,741$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…26d7backed Yes | 71c | 7,457$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.87 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 63c | 7,165$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.63 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…461cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,079$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 1cpaid | +568.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 22c | 6,747$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.3 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 38c | 6,472$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed Yes | 38c | 6,158$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +93%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…a0a6backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 4cpaid | +662.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 20c | 5,919$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.94 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 59c | 5,717$3,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.11 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7136…b35abacked Yes | 13c | 5,486$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.01 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +272.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed Yes | 27c | 5,209$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +724.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 20c | 5,163$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.85 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…c6b5backed Yes | 78c | 5,140$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed No | 70c | 4,982$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Yes | 28c | 4,896$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.35 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8add…fc2abacked Yes | 15c | 4,150$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.74 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…cfb0backed Yes | 3c | 3,678$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 8cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…6f01backed Yes | 1c | 3,265$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 62c | 3,206$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.3 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b04abacked Yes | 6c | 3,103$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.45 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 10c | 2,912$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.85 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…f38ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,520$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 60c | 2,409$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.11 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…2561backed Yes | 19c | 2,267$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.93 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…1f8ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,177$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…e1e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 9c | 1,974$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 1,924$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…a418backed Yes | 34c | 1,872$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…6591backed Yes | 6c | 1,674$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 1,579$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 2c | 1,544$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 56c | 1,538$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc8…cf79backed Yes | 10c | 1,509$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 26c | 1,500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…b7cabacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 2c | 1,458$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 53c | 1,234$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…3a15backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 7c | 1,190$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…a2d2backed Yes | 8c | 1,182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed Yes | 51c | 1,174$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.91 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…4b72backed Yes | 7c | 1,116$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 10c | 1,107$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 1,106$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.55 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,103$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed Yes | 8c | 1,091$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Yes | 27c | 1,064$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa674…a5f7backed Yes | 20c | 1,038$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 30c | 1,031$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.1 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…0382backed Yes | 59c | 1,018$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 66cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Yes | 7c | 930$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 13c | 902.21$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.82 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 51c | 896.75$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.97 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 60c | 883.53$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.3 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 2c | 853.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc124…25cbbacked Yes | 2c | 804.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +95%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…02a1backed Yes | 66c | 800.07$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76e9…a61cbacked No | 78c | 779.67$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…4af0backed Yes | 5c | 726.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…39c4backed Yes | 29c | 706.85$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…2f77backed Yes | 22c | 671.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +494%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d4…65bbbacked Yes | 59c | 663.82$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +182.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 600$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 10c | 591.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 6c | 590.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 77c | 583.84$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…35ecbacked Yes | 4c | 562.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…c22bbacked Yes | 35c | 555.86$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Yes | 56c | 544.39$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed Yes | 19c | 530.18$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d9…4738backed Yes | 22c | 517.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6267…ab01backed Yes | 3c | 457.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 438$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 36c | 430.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…5434backed Yes | 57c | 416.55$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dd…0708backed Yes | 17c | 410.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 20cpaid | +216.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.