World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff43adcb48183ddb47ae3d143e3082d3ed9e3957dc1b2bbd33b096f2432dd52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa066…bfd4backed Yes | 1c | 26,166$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.84 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea1…c0e4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 20c | 10,722$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.37 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…5353backed Yes | 49c | 7,783$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.23 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Yes | 33c | 6,012$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.75 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 27c | 5,956$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.74 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…8121backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…3618backed Yes | 65c | 3,432$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Yes | 79c | 3,059$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 69c | 2,502$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.11 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 72c | 2,124$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.83 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f866backed Yes | 19c | 2,095$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 9c | 1,980$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.6 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 19c | 1,800$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b8b4backed No | 70c | 1,769$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f68…2815backed No | 40c | 1,490$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 79c | 1,114$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…c9b5backed Yes | 22c | 1,061$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked Yes | 54c | 993.5$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 28c | 933.14$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 78c | 930.08$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.86 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked No | 53c | 911.16$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…a0eebacked Yes | 21c | 899.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.95 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 42c | 855.3$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.45 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…71bcbacked Yes | 24c | 836.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 9c | 740$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed Yes | 62c | 721.32$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.48 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 21c | 699.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.99 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 70c | 695$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…6c70backed Yes | 29c | 619.48$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 80c | 603.12$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 27c | 600$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.28 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 27c | 570$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.9 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 74c | 529.47$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 71c | 502.3$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.45 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 500.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f01…26d7backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…3be2backed Yes | 31c | 455.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 22c | 420$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa483…1d9ebacked Yes | 29c | 415.29$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8557backed Yes | 18c | 360.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 351.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 347.76$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…d97cbacked Yes | 63c | 343.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.93 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…690ebacked Yes | 35c | 340.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…44a7backed Yes | 63c | 337.49$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 53c | 326.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.96 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e01…cfeebacked Yes | 31c | 326.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 22c | 288.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 17c | 234.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Yes | 64c | 200.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…f639backed Yes | 26c | 191.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…17c7backed No | 23c | 172.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +929.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…e795backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8d…928cbacked Yes | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…9d80backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0732…b540backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 29c | 89.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 25c | 68.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 65c | 67.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 66.77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5b…3f99backed Yes | 31c | 65.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…33b1backed Yes | 32c | 62.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…e85cbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd24…72d0backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…980abacked Yes | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…93c4backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 62c | 31.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…03a1backed No | 70c | 21.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…286abacked No | 70c | 17.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?this page
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?Yes won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
- Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.