Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7766d0a0159b9ae7069b695f31d6b1f7620b19f1a977a5b4b63d5564ef8c2c06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked No | 0c | 9,539$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 70c | 3,607$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 28c | 3,180$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf11…cd6bbacked Yes | 14c | 2,321$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…02cabacked Yes | 8c | 1,520$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.62 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…3395backed Yes | 9c | 1,098$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,053$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.68 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa826…f823backed Yes | 60c | 977$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 11c | 816$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 24c | 695.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 4c | 432$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.06 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +385.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…49efbacked No | 60c | 298.24$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 34c | 219.4$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…04a3backed Yes | 14c | 178.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.91 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 10c | 119.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed Yes | 40c | 62.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…ae55backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6cd0backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $10 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $18 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $9 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $26 before June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $28 before June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.