Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0de2e7da3c4ef9d6ef8312809970431ad15229cbc7b4d3bdcc6a8465ebf698f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 3c | 4,911$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 42c | 704.81$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b8…2c1fbacked Yes | 62c | 697.63$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.53 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 658$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 10c | 657.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.22 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…3395backed Yes | 68c | 540.86$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 50c | 503.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed Yes | 55c | 448.21$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 400.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…d4a6backed No | 71c | 313.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…13cbbacked No | 40c | 283$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 35c | 222.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 214.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…a0cdbacked Yes | 16c | 181$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +385.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed No | 76c | 149.71$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 10c | 132$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.60per pick | 23cpaid | +239.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac9…dbbabacked No | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…cbcdbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551a…86b9backed No | 44c | 45.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…7f85backed Yes | 66c | 45.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…d174backed Yes | 43c | 37.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 34c | 36.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Yes | 66c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 40c | 26.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $10 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $18 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $9 before June?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $26 before June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $28 before June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $32 before June?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $35 before June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.