Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e312f680876528b4c57cde75064d0d4f317a03436c9aa9b47a754e8101d873
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 68c | 27,005$18,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,652.25 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 45c | 21,531$9,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,771.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 66cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Yes | 65c | 20,276$13,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 35c | 14,151$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.79 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd7…eb50backed Yes | 58c | 10,190$5,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 20c | 10,109$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed Yes | 65c | 8,955$5,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,173.38 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 23c | 5,728$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…011cbacked Yes | 50c | 5,600$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 52c | 5,441$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 40c | 4,632$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.55 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 33c | 4,604$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.93 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…1181backed No | 34c | 4,208$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a9…73e8backed No | 41c | 3,700$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 37c | 3,212$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 3,100$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…bd53backed No | 47c | 2,387$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fda…01d5backed Yes | 76c | 2,301$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.33 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed Yes | 57c | 1,976$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.89 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…af58backed No | 43c | 1,879$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…878abacked Yes | 62c | 1,790$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288c…a41dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,747$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.21 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…897ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,700$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3581…3c1bbacked No | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…1d52backed Yes | 55c | 1,459$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 60c | 1,416$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 30c | 1,336$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.47 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 3c | 1,332$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 45c | 1,275$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…da0ebacked Yes | 65c | 1,210$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bda…edd3backed No | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…2144backed No | 42c | 1,106$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…3741backed No | 8c | 1,073$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 25c | 1,056$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.59 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…3e59backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed No | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5d9ebacked Yes | 58c | 948.27$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.27 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…3635backed Yes | 56c | 887.31$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 843.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed No | 40c | 822.77$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 40c | 813.33$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb7…6ff7backed Yes | 68c | 795.32$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9df…3fcdbacked Yes | 66c | 759.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Yes | 71c | 706.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +96%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…74dabacked Yes | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…8159backed No | 58c | 521.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 45c | 507.85$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.37 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519a…2ec7backed No | 56c | 507.62$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 17c | 503.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9dc7backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91c…d9ebbacked No | 46c | 481.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 31c | 472.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 430.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…158abacked No | 31c | 429.97$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9b…4f25backed Yes | 52c | 425.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7768…161fbacked No | 35c | 410.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 22c | 400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…83a4backed Yes | 61c | 391.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…4e85backed No | 40c | 374.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae73…188abacked Yes | 74c | 363.59$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…b251backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…441ebacked Yes | 55c | 318.18$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 31c | 315.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…4deabacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 64cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 42c | 284.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.55 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…0cb4backed No | 32c | 280$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…6bd3backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…a342backed No | 45c | 266.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…4d4ebacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d87dbacked No | 40c | 249.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…0608backed No | 42c | 241.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…4faebacked Yes | 59c | 238.85$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 34c | 235$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 64c | 230$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…1bdabacked No | 49c | 227.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…bcb4backed Yes | 53c | 219.84$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…c2c4backed Yes | 58c | 216.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…cf94backed No | 16c | 214.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…c824backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…7776backed No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…5e85backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b7…0b0dbacked No | 35c | 199.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…fb5dbacked No | 18c | 188$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…9339backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…7eb0backed Yes | 53c | 183.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…0bd0backed Yes | 61c | 179.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…afb0backed Yes | 54c | 174.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 45c | 172.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.97 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091d…44ddbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d63cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.