TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fad…1480backed Yes0c5,339$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.361612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-82.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8352…cb73backed Yes4c5,000$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed No57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.991250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes27c3,670$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.929219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed No68c3,357$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.29850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa532…114bbacked Yes32c3,126$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes33c2,637$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.2312523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No69c2,139$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.0814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes55c1,830$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000166.3%1 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick37cpaid-90.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No69c1,812$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.7821337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,754$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.543766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb6…099fbacked No61c1,663$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…527fbacked Yes65c1,634$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No65c1,065$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.732646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed No50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…c040backed Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No61c967.63$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x73e8…6ffdbacked Yes1c869.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5860%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e40…0a10backed Yes3c751.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Yes20c737.12$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.421747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes33c681.18$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7711547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf385…4864backed No69c676.76$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.041764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd28…94d4backed Yes7c674.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…fd91backed No70c657.62$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca4d…29ecbacked Yes39c647.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.05520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes8c645.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.712646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa599…4513backed No59c645$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.451471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes9c578.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.292123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No70c574.66$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9812246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed No33c548.97$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.7312419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes40c457.89$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.581776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No67c447.57$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.896866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c446.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6112616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c419.09$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2712325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes39c410.56$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes28c361.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.752512%3 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b84…3e61backed Yes6c356.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes39c355.47$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1383619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb995…5f38backed Yes13c350.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.62425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes44c335.35$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.555255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e9c…1115backed Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3147…7667backed Yes30c331.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005418.5%10 W · 44 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4abf…2fcdbacked No63c282.43$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc64a…6c0dbacked Yes33c240$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b19…1ca7backed Yes51c234.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e5…5abfbacked Yes44c229.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf638…8c7abacked No69c225$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No65c221.46$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.512080%16 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+49%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9d38…aceabacked Yes35c200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2369…dc3cbacked Yes19c193.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes14c165$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.257233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe489…9483backed Yes31c158.71$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x356a…4d34backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd578…446bbacked No65c153.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.982040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+0.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e4f…a3e3backed No68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked No77c134.95$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.061533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…7c89backed Yes45c132.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+194%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19af…dd83backed Yes42c131.4$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.192123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebb5…abf4backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ea4…c506backed Yes39c128.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa78…7248backed No78c128.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.623511.4%4 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid+54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes15c126$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.283215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb03…59cabacked Yes17c117.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No58c111$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6210051%51 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x393e…bf9dbacked Yes25c107.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed No62c107$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.074134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6332…6128backed Yes38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29db…ae12backed Yes29c102.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3002…8c16backed Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-58.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec01…6592backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cc…769cbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d4…84a1backed No62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe112…987cbacked Yes59c85.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d51…f56cbacked No60c85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…1f51backed No59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1721…292cbacked Yes25c78.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+86.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed No72c77.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.976246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes30c76.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb37…ff74backed No52c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363735.1%13 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d4…8d3cbacked No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ab…1349backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…a661backed Yes30c66.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d1…ee14backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…8de3backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…f03dbacked Yes31c58.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb287…c1c0backed Yes37c54.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b87…0eddbacked No68c43.17$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.871225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3845…4c75backed Yes44c38.64$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x622e…3bf2backed Yes40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bc3…bcc9backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…81f5backed No65c30.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes37c29.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc074…ccd4backed Yes58c29.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed65…b1b2backed Yes39c28.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2249…85cabacked No72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked No65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf388…0348backed No63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb854…d139backed No53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.