F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a186ab35d7b0f54dd9c4b0aff2c7ece08523e485bd6ad2fbc2c4658410cf1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,142$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.15 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8352…cb73backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 76c | 2,172$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.02 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,173$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 20c | 1,150$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.63 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 21c | 911.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…01e0backed Yes | 30c | 837.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 14c | 699.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…c040backed Yes | 13c | 699.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 22c | 505.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 20c | 500.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…69ccbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 78c | 485.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 29c | 411.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 363.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 19c | 350$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 247.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +49%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 79c | 191.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 25c | 184.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 32c | 176.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 28c | 175.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…abf4backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 77c | 161.25$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 158.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 36c | 140.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked No | 76c | 134.92$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…955cbacked Yes | 14c | 132.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655a…5024backed Yes | 33c | 120.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 35c | 115.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Yes | 34c | 107.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed No | 65c | 104.56$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…1b22backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 71c | 89.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…234ebacked Yes | 19c | 80.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…5a7cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…c01dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…4d34backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb37…ff74backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…af05backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed No | 71c | 55.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab9…5f7abacked Yes | 19c | 52.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…533bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…9b9bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.