Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action on Yemen by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efe5ee0d6050a1a7ebd74ecbb5f668408878f77f89b0baf2b1e00ed821b1acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 14c | 51,993$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,483.51 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 1c | 15,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 7c | 12,572$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.58 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 0c | 11,618$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…e39ebacked No | 0c | 9,719$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked No | 11c | 8,380$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.82 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8334…4e9fbacked No | 3c | 8,013$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 12c | 7,100$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.59 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked No | 13c | 5,944$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 5c | 5,344$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb18…f867backed No | 15c | 5,285$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 18cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 13c | 5,264$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.02 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 7c | 5,123$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.53 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 12c | 4,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 13c | 3,971$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.62 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked No | 8c | 3,889$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.91 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed No | 2c | 3,838$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 15c | 3,429$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.46 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 8c | 3,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 6c | 3,139$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.81 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed No | 4c | 3,020$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 160 | 61.9%99 W · 61 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 16c | 2,470$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked No | 9c | 2,447$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…512abacked No | 4c | 2,408$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…5e5abacked No | 8c | 2,384$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 14c | 2,360$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.75 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 15c | 2,074$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 6c | 1,980$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 13c | 1,729$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.07 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked No | 6c | 1,575$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 10c | 1,428$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 2c | 1,233$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…4472backed No | 7c | 1,232$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 1,231$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 14c | 1,167$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 14c | 1,150$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed No | 13c | 1,063$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 15c | 1,000$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…eabdbacked No | 10c | 974.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 21c | 835$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed No | 8c | 666$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…8a22backed No | 8c | 631.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +11.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 613.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…93fdbacked No | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 15c | 593.84$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 19c | 550$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed No | 35c | 530$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 25c | 499.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…0e79backed No | 5c | 477.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…2d8fbacked No | 10c | 425.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…4660backed Yes | 44c | 412.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 20c | 403$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 13c | 350$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 15c | 334.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked No | 8c | 323.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…c296backed No | 14c | 321.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed No | 7c | 288.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…1c49backed No | 12c | 250$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…4ee8backed No | 8c | 235.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 18c | 227.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…90ccbacked No | 19c | 211.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ce…e5c3backed No | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…d45bbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…ffecbacked No | 5c | 190$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed Yes | 74c | 171.38$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed No | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…d954backed No | 14c | 155.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Yes | 25c | 149.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…cb22backed Yes | 40c | 109$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 20c | 100.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8e38…1198backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 98.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 18c | 88.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…8a10backed No | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f72…6dc4backed No | 15c | 69.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…7472backed No | 29c | 68.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 24c | 67.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0399…1c59backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.