Middle East · resolved market
Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3095f298fe596353fabda0ac18618928067ebdda7f485d85ed93cb6d12006add
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $275,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 70c | 42,427$29,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,551.81 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 34c | 28,297$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,624.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 37c | 22,041$8,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,192.21 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…c1f6backed Yes | 27c | 16,241$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.37 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.53per pick | 33cpaid | +308.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 79c | 10,333$8,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.66 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 78c | 8,154$6,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…8aa5backed Yes | 15c | 5,938$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 69c | 5,795$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.97 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 64c | 5,544$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.13 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed Yes | 20c | 5,432$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 67c | 4,760$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.47 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 79c | 4,733$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.84 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 68c | 4,720$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 70c | 4,386$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.73 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 59c | 3,500$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.84 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 4c | 3,362$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.45 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed No | 76c | 3,079$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 14c | 2,417$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked No | 72c | 2,399$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…0126backed Yes | 22c | 2,339$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.89 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 69c | 2,041$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.66 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,963$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.74 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…edcabacked Yes | 2c | 1,460$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,338$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,176$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.53 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,094$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 38c | 942.24$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 920.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 21c | 874.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 29c | 849.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 74c | 793.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 5c | 769.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.94 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…a72bbacked Yes | 7c | 686.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 683.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 65c | 676.92$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.92 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 27c | 657.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 24c | 641.01$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes | 28c | 600$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Yes | 23c | 572.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…a551backed No | 78c | 538.94$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 43c | 503.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 26c | 500.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…2d22backed Yes | 43c | 439$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 78c | 425$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed No | 63c | 419.9$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 67c | 400.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 70c | 400.17$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 5c | 372.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 74c | 369.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…8845backed Yes | 10c | 365$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…30babacked No | 79c | 333.66$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 34c | 329.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a0…4e12backed Yes | 22c | 296$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…074abacked Yes | 4c | 289.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 280.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…a675backed Yes | 38c | 272.4$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…34e1backed No | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 66c | 250$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 199 | 30.7%61 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed No | 75c | 247.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 35c | 221.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…2c3bbacked Yes | 34c | 218.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 208$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked No | 78c | 180.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…9542backed Yes | 30c | 174.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…ff64backed No | 73c | 170$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 59c | 169.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 68c | 166$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 36c | 157.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 24c | 154.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…256ebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 18c | 144$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 63c | 138.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 29c | 122.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…dcecbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…ae0fbacked No | 55c | 115.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…890fbacked Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…28e5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…a149backed Yes | 32c | 77.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b1…5037backed Yes | 23c | 76.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed No | 68c | 74.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b69…0cdebacked No | 63c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…4021backed No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…078cbacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac6…2192backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf458…9ac4backed Yes | 45c | 59.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…8b05backed No | 72c | 55.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 22c | 50.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.