NBA · resolved market
Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29040b4d9289e805fd1ed6dc89008c2898810e248e1df252f1bd189610f55d9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Yes | 24c | 12,200$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…ce29backed Yes | 25c | 7,866$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0a…cc66backed Yes | 19c | 5,478$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…dbadbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 17c | 4,255$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.6 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…ea3bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,419$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 25c | 3,372$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.3 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 18c | 3,012$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 5c | 2,683$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x484d…9400backed Yes | 38c | 2,563$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 20c | 2,510$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 20c | 2,480$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.72 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…de9bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,074$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…a447backed Yes | 16c | 1,961$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 75c | 1,905$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.21 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…d2e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,148$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 26c | 1,005$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4225…4bfebacked Yes | 13c | 900.38$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8326…55b8backed Yes | 24c | 731.38$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…9f6fbacked Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…d1e3backed Yes | 24c | 600$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…618abacked Yes | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 34c | 592.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 563.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea0…efecbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…525abacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x262d…4b8fbacked Yes | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…4c27backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…38c0backed Yes | 26c | 389.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 21c | 388.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 28c | 366.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 6c | 300.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…b35bbacked Yes | 34c | 290.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17db…e2ffbacked Yes | 17c | 288.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…ea2bbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…8dcabacked Yes | 6c | 178$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b4…d32ebacked Yes | 28c | 176.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…e093backed Yes | 6c | 169.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…764bbacked Yes | 9c | 143.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Yes | 12c | 133.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540a…f1d8backed Yes | 25c | 100.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…cfa8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c9…abe1backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…4209backed Yes | 24c | 99.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…c9a9backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…dfcbbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…abb8backed Yes | 22c | 75.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…47ecbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 28c | 71.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…79a3backed Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?this page
- Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes won
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Golden State Warriors be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Indiana Pacers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will LA Clippers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Los Angeles Lakers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Miami Heat be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Milwaukee Bucks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New Orleans Pelicans be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New York Knicks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Orlando Magic be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Philadelphia 76ers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Phoenix Suns be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Sacramento Kings be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.