NBA · resolved market
Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a998108d07858ad1410079f5b2c502ff4ac5436203bca8369749077502ed78f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f57…19fcbacked Yes | 17c | 31,830$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Yes | 3c | 14,587$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…ce29backed Yes | 20c | 14,392$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 10c | 12,822$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.03 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…eca9backed Yes | 29c | 8,601$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…ea3bbacked Yes | 16c | 7,571$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x174c…cf64backed Yes | 5c | 5,395$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…78c9backed Yes | 27c | 4,950$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 16c | 4,381$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…a117backed Yes | 29c | 3,503$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 14c | 3,484$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.17 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…de9bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,442$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 5c | 2,900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…18d0backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Yes | 18c | 2,367$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Yes | 10c | 2,029$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8b44backed Yes | 8c | 1,899$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0a…cc66backed Yes | 17c | 1,764$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,761$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…c9eabacked Yes | 26c | 1,712$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…06cebacked Yes | 11c | 1,309$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f31…afdabacked Yes | 5c | 1,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…9d70backed Yes | 8c | 1,060$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6631…7e19backed Yes | 6c | 850$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0715…22cebacked Yes | 29c | 699.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…9feabacked Yes | 29c | 696.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7a…01dbbacked Yes | 31c | 589.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 5c | 532.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 17c | 436.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…4225backed Yes | 10c | 401.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 11c | 382.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…09e5backed Yes | 29c | 366.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…a1e2backed Yes | 29c | 341.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…be43backed Yes | 29c | 338.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d5…b41dbacked Yes | 30c | 334.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Yes | 9c | 321.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a6a5backed Yes | 5c | 309.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd07…4e45backed Yes | 40c | 250.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…3094backed Yes | 15c | 210.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…ffa6backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…6db6backed Yes | 12c | 181.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 14c | 157.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…7538backed Yes | 14c | 136.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb927…f81abacked Yes | 9c | 120.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…4209backed Yes | 16c | 99.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 29c | 84.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…af3ebacked Yes | 30c | 78.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f329backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…e66abacked Yes | 17c | 65.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…dfcbbacked Yes | 24c | 45.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 33c | 44.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8151backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?this page
- Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes won
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Golden State Warriors be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Indiana Pacers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will LA Clippers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Los Angeles Lakers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Miami Heat be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Milwaukee Bucks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New Orleans Pelicans be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New York Knicks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Orlando Magic be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Philadelphia 76ers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Phoenix Suns be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Sacramento Kings be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.