NBA · resolved market
Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849753c23a361b9c8696072789fb39bb8fa526ffcbab52f7c439f43dee54b1bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $583,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yes | 70c | 81,050$56,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,284.89 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 49c | 16,162$7,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,319.23 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…30dcbacked Yes | 67c | 14,817$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 61c | 14,406$8,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.76 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361e…60b0backed No | 34c | 10,584$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…7094backed No | 26c | 10,292$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 64c | 9,998$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.98 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked Yes | 60c | 9,751$5,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 59c | 9,555$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,890.6 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 64c | 9,433$6,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.75 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…1e65backed Yes | 66c | 9,071$6,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,052.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…d343backed No | 35c | 7,225$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 71c | 7,200$5,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 47c | 7,001$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.31 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea7…79acbacked Yes | 31c | 6,765$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,667.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…0b67backed Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 35c | 4,714$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.23 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…6903backed No | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…178abacked Yes | 66c | 4,177$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…08fdbacked No | 25c | 4,074$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…49fdbacked Yes | 76c | 3,830$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…dbadbacked Yes | 43c | 3,449$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7d…ce29backed Yes | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…4febbacked No | 35c | 2,143$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…ea3bbacked No | 49c | 2,095$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 64c | 1,720$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed No | 3c | 1,533$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Yes | 79c | 1,513$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…eca9backed No | 41c | 1,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…dc7fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 51c | 1,376$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.88 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…5846backed No | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 58c | 1,048$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…aca7backed Yes | 62c | 939.66$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…bf56backed Yes | 66c | 898.9$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed Yes | 64c | 794.51$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…9d70backed Yes | 71c | 673.81$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e43…43dfbacked Yes | 68c | 614.93$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…edc7backed No | 35c | 614.71$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb178…0000backed Yes | 63c | 592.5$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb822…a78cbacked No | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…5f02backed No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Yes | 46c | 531.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.02 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a05…8021backed No | 36c | 521.54$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…6084backed Yes | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb217…9bcdbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…a85abacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…5098backed No | 6c | 495.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…3069backed No | 35c | 485.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…e53fbacked Yes | 68c | 485$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 32c | 456.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…b625backed Yes | 64c | 450$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…196dbacked Yes | 65c | 448$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4f…a563backed Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7e…188ebacked Yes | 60c | 445.3$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693e…8092backed No | 35c | 442.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 61c | 441.34$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.76 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…4081backed Yes | 66c | 419.7$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dd…c5afbacked Yes | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a29…c516backed No | 34c | 394.78$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…3bf2backed Yes | 66c | 392.36$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…a829backed No | 36c | 386.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 58c | 370.39$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a0…8f76backed Yes | 64c | 367.84$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d46…682bbacked Yes | 66c | 355.02$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…73acbacked No | 22c | 350$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…09c7backed Yes | 67c | 349.25$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 66c | 346.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…f66bbacked No | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…a8fbbacked Yes | 68c | 309.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…1541backed Yes | 66c | 303.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e1…a707backed Yes | 66c | 303.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…5a65backed Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…4c27backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74e…f366backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…9326backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cc…6e44backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…6cd0backed Yes | 65c | 297.23$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…e64fbacked No | 37c | 286.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6f…2e1bbacked Yes | 66c | 286.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0426…e348backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…4a0ebacked No | 45c | 265.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…d615backed No | 36c | 263$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe42…553ebacked Yes | 66c | 260$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…116ebacked Yes | 63c | 245.05$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc0…79cfbacked No | 36c | 220.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0ea1backed Yes | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…204cbacked Yes | 66c | 213$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…c6bebacked No | 37c | 210.81$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…d2e0backed No | 59c | 201.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…1612backed Yes | 66c | 201$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?this page
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Golden State Warriors be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Indiana Pacers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will LA Clippers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Los Angeles Lakers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Miami Heat be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Milwaukee Bucks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New Orleans Pelicans be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New York Knicks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Orlando Magic be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Philadelphia 76ers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Phoenix Suns be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Sacramento Kings be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.