NBA · resolved market
Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054332f7e556bf009aca9f093a1f7ad7425cf7a5cc4b01fe3e04e20f1b62b3dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 71c | 48,081$34,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,842.09 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked Yes | 11c | 38,625$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x361e…60b0backed Yes | 34c | 32,293$10,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,914.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…883abacked Yes | 36c | 28,073$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…4f0fbacked Yes | 4c | 19,876$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 3c | 16,854$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 1c | 15,736$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…7272backed Yes | 7c | 12,268$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…eca9backed Yes | 34c | 11,470$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…c6e9backed Yes | 4c | 11,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Yes | 33c | 9,322$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106.85 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…7094backed Yes | 27c | 9,096$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…b579backed Yes | 12c | 9,096$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…41e0backed Yes | 7c | 7,560$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…d343backed Yes | 35c | 7,052$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Yes | 35c | 7,036$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056d…b817backed Yes | 21c | 6,687$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…dbadbacked Yes | 23c | 5,629$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 20c | 5,412$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.07 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…18d0backed Yes | 6c | 4,860$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.12 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…125fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,217$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e3…651ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,991$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…920ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,774$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…9d3dbacked Yes | 28c | 3,510$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe79…c9eabacked Yes | 14c | 3,480$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…9c70backed Yes | 12c | 3,469$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982a…546abacked Yes | 6c | 3,126$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d7…3d6cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,712$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Yes | 10c | 2,538$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef8…de45backed Yes | 34c | 2,037$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd5…b4bbbacked No | 66c | 1,838$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…75b6backed Yes | 4c | 1,790$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…4c84backed Yes | 7c | 1,655$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd634…ea9fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,574$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…2119backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…4414backed Yes | 35c | 1,379$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 15c | 1,370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…e0e7backed Yes | 28c | 1,363$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…5232backed Yes | 4c | 1,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,315$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 32c | 1,292$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.7 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7a…01dbbacked Yes | 14c | 1,271$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…e1cbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,244$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed No | 66c | 1,177$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…44a4backed Yes | 36c | 1,176$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…9da6backed Yes | 15c | 1,020$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…6084backed Yes | 34c | 1,014$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…aa40backed Yes | 28c | 903.95$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Yes | 34c | 869.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…64d0backed Yes | 25c | 801.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…0ff1backed No | 65c | 763.69$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…c97abacked Yes | 4c | 750.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 34c | 730.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…abb8backed Yes | 8c | 717.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…db55backed Yes | 31c | 704.47$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…024bbacked Yes | 15c | 701$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 33c | 699.85$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…a1e2backed Yes | 15c | 672.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…7d82backed Yes | 13c | 670$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…dc28backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 19c | 635.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 26c | 614.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…d2e0backed Yes | 29c | 602.94$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…620bbacked Yes | 36c | 563.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…73acbacked Yes | 34c | 450$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d5…b41dbacked Yes | 36c | 418.47$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…6a5dbacked Yes | 13c | 415.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc618…0b85backed Yes | 3c | 406.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3956backed Yes | 13c | 402.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…dfcbbacked Yes | 9c | 393.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dd…b35bbacked Yes | 14c | 349.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…385ebacked Yes | 15c | 334.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663f…498bbacked Yes | 35c | 330.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…ea36backed No | 68c | 324.17$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…b029backed Yes | 34c | 320$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e69…3afbbacked Yes | 35c | 320$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e38…4653backed No | 67c | 315.86$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…19e7backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…c333backed No | 67c | 308.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…df84backed Yes | 7c | 305.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…eaadbacked Yes | 29c | 305.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab3…7e4dbacked Yes | 33c | 301.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…af1abacked Yes | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…9964backed Yes | 19c | 299.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed Yes | 33c | 297.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Yes | 34c | 295.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…77ccbacked Yes | 34c | 290.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed Yes | 35c | 288.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…8455backed Yes | 35c | 286.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…0d69backed Yes | 34c | 286.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…cf5ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…1515backed No | 67c | 283.58$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…470fbacked Yes | 23c | 281.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 6c | 280$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…86ffbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…4209backed Yes | 25c | 269.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dallas Mavericks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?this page
- Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions?Yes won
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Denver Nuggets be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Golden State Warriors be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Indiana Pacers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will LA Clippers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Los Angeles Lakers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Miami Heat be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Milwaukee Bucks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New Orleans Pelicans be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will New York Knicks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Orlando Magic be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Philadelphia 76ers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Phoenix Suns be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
- Will Sacramento Kings be 2023-24 NBA Champions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.