TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Indiana Pacers be 2023-24 NBA Champions?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$361,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,917 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66e7…24c2backed Yes0c108,859$172 inLost-$171.992619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2de9…4b3fbacked Yes2c30,453$635 inLost-$634.89650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e99…18d0backed Yes0c16,499$49 inLost-$49.5160%0 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc04b…1424backed Yes3c16,132$427 inLost-$427.18922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86d7…3d6cbacked Yes3c14,320$500 inLost-$499.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes2c13,687$251 inLost-$251.489946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1856…1964backed Yes3c8,858$266 inLost-$265.751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789e…3956backed Yes1c4,000$45 inLost-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes3c2,392$62 inLost-$62.23917.9%7 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-52.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9631…8b1fbacked Yes1c2,125$17 inLost-$17742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…8fd9backed Yes1c1,833$22 inLost-$2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…e1cbbacked Yes2c1,638$27 inLost-$27.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x965d…7f4ebacked Yes1c1,500$12 inLost-$12.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd47…aa89backed Yes4c1,426$51 inLost-$50.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes1c1,271$17 inLost-$16.938929.2%26 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…7ad1backed Yes1c1,167$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a1…2a09backed Yes1c1,150$12 inLost-$11.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Yes2c1,119$18 inLost-$1818628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd821…20ecbacked Yes3c1,071$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab2…f309backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb6…3273backed Yes2c1,000$15 inLost-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c6b…4225backed Yes1c910.26$11 inLost-$1130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fb…8dcabacked Yes3c845.02$27 inLost-$27.042050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9224…a1e2backed Yes4c789.47$30 inLost-$301225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ea…1959backed Yes8c664.65$51 inLost-$5130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.