TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will New York Knicks be 2023-24 NBA Champions?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$124,676
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,676 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9cf…dbadbacked Yes5c16,667$750 inLost-$750825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…c6e9backed Yes3c10,490$345 inLost-$344.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes2c5,906$117 inLost-$117.021,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes5c5,350$247 inLost-$246.8530443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fb…8dcabacked Yes7c2,978$203 inLost-$203.482050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes7c2,807$182 inLost-$182.479946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e7a…01dbbacked Yes5c2,043$101 inLost-$100.9760%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d7…3d6cbacked Yes5c1,851$100 inLost-$99.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes6c1,822$107 inLost-$107.335020%10 W · 40 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-44.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes5c1,201$56 inLost-$55.578929.2%26 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f3…5b01backed Yes9c749.59$65 inLost-$65250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+97.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…4209backed Yes4c500$21 inLost-$20.631816.7%3 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2196…6d06backed Yes5c200$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.