Us Politics · resolved market
Trump declassifies 9/11 files in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b9a7bdb459a2d38c336df624905e276d4085bbea40c04541d8b03f92f34b267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a7c9backed No | 64c | 101,963$65,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,706.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…3fc9backed Yes | 36c | 101,963$36,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,706.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 5c | 4,656$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 4c | 3,996$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fd…658cbacked Yes | 22c | 3,447$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.27 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 3c | 1,881$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b36…6542backed Yes | 1c | 1,360$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 19c | 1,355$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.39 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 3c | 1,168$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,075$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 5c | 960.84$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…b984backed No | 75c | 814.81$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.35 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 76c | 814.35$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed No | 75c | 666.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 38c | 483.59$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.06 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…4df2backed No | 65c | 451.58$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 12c | 362.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 15c | 268.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…f052backed Yes | 16c | 268.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b340backed Yes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 71c | 244.24$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…c9dabacked Yes | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 67c | 195.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…e94abacked Yes | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…7de6backed No | 66c | 174.55$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 24c | 164$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 79c | 123.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…3428backed Yes | 28c | 117.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…7fcbbacked Yes | 17c | 114.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…0cc5backed Yes | 17c | 109.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…f7fcbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…16f8backed No | 68c | 102.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 29c | 100.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…6641backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…a015backed Yes | 38c | 91.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…8cf9backed No | 59c | 75.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…1b1cbacked Yes | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3244…43bebacked No | 77c | 65.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 63.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ae…9b0dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d2…8f47backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0b…9076backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…6759backed No | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.