Us Politics · resolved market
Harvard international students ban ended before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d43572c9f733da197c7b211b1d74ea976390ace7020f451e8b1ab462cf7fde2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 6,877$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 20c | 4,730$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.15 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 46c | 1,447$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.42 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 48c | 907.9$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.85 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed No | 49c | 823.52$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 69c | 774.35$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 32c | 712.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.12 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…b226backed No | 62c | 641.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 52c | 630.32$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.83 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed No | 54c | 599.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 31c | 520.56$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.82 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 56c | 501.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.17 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 33c | 490.24$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 74c | 482.07$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.15 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 59c | 449.85$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.76 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 434.49$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 39c | 415.95$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 33c | 382.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 55c | 375.68$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…a061backed Yes | 58c | 373.62$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 80c | 365.74$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4a…10bebacked Yes | 8c | 340$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed No | 57c | 338.43$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 13c | 333.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 77c | 321.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.03 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…78d1backed No | 71c | 280.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +14.7wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…2f79backed Yes | 36c | 277.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 34c | 253.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 69c | 204.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.73 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed Yes | 25c | 192.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…7317backed Yes | 6c | 189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 69c | 184.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.66 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…65b2backed Yes | 6c | 170.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 36c | 161.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…8a0cbacked No | 66c | 150.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 57c | 135.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 58c | 127.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 43c | 117$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 19c | 104.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…4bc6backed No | 37c | 100.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8b0dbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…a18fbacked Yes | 61c | 99.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed Yes | 66c | 93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…ebf8backed No | 44c | 88.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954c…daaebacked Yes | 79c | 87.53$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d6…0addbacked No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 33c | 82.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c9…96afbacked No | 34c | 79.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 43c | 75.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6521backed No | 27c | 74.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ae…0974backed Yes | 48c | 71.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 23c | 70.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…f02ebacked Yes | 14c | 70.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed No | 73c | 68.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 45c | 64.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 79c | 63.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…2bdebacked No | 35c | 57.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Yes | 76c | 57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…5544backed No | 57c | 52.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked Yes | 79c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6fd8backed No | 21c | 49.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…b1c6backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d5…8464backed No | 32c | 37.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked Yes | 56c | 36.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…edb5backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa35…7054backed No | 32c | 34.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 65c | 34.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…3975backed Yes | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed Yes | 51c | 32.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b96…bed2backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…69bfbacked Yes | 40c | 30.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…f283backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7d…454bbacked No | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…9dc9backed No | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…7f50backed No | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed Yes | 59c | 21.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…5199backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…300cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…58e9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa546…0dc2backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.