TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,166 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x641c…9a65backed Under18c14,840$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,102.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under29c12,250$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,729.761,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…132fbacked Over67c6,586$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Over66c5,496$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,648.8839750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…04b7backed Under34c4,787$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,153.182245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over53c4,678$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,481.1819648%94 W · 102 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under15c4,473$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,790.991,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Under34c3,467$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.0734651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under5c2,949$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.662,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c8…c34ebacked Under36c1,961$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.441136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Over72c1,755$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.5816654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under9c1,717$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.832653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+53.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over68c1,673$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Under36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8910949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under32c1,347$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.3114228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over67c1,313$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.2412450%62 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over13c1,250$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1675834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+82.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Under32c1,165$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.4977131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over69c1,161$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Over64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64014060%84 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under32c868$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.593,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Over65c802.23$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.8325668.4%175 W · 81 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Under18c775.01$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.494949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Over66c758$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2820045%90 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Over67c746.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Over64c599.98$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.996267.7%42 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under32c563.76$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.181,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over76c548.16$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.716460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Under39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8212347.2%58 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed Over67c446.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.482250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under32c442.05$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.651,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1118…6f82backed Under20c413.71$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under30c403.39$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.752,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Under31c386.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9450749.7%252 W · 255 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over79c378.1$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.993860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59d4…eb89backed Under13c373.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.786428.1%18 W · 46 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+97%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over66c367$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2220252%105 W · 97 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2da2…8c2bbacked Over66c337.62$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2234365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Under34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Under23c294.55$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.810749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c9…887fbacked Over66c292.24$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.77149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…22ffbacked Over69c288.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002751.9%14 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+122%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Under36c268.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7520557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Under24c249.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9912147.1%57 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Under33c249.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.4933736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under25c236.81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8119052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc834…685fbacked Over67c228.36$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over67c222.27$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9249346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Under8c199.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9942835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under35c199.48$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4617544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d18…3d29backed Over67c184.37$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5324845.2%112 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Over67c162.32$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.963253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Under33c150$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2556341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016456.7%93 W · 71 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under31c146.7$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.221,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…5696backed Under34c145$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009242.4%39 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Over69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028843.1%124 W · 164 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4531…0ad7backed Under35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+60.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Under19c137.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8516035%56 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba9…0175backed Under34c137$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe64b…9cf1backed Under23c134.39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.483043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5813971.2%99 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd12b…43a9backed Under35c129.69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.692850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Over70c128.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9038344.6%171 W · 212 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba8…5798backed Over65c127.22$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Under34c126.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6176246.9%357 W · 405 L+2.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed Over68c119.84$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.094168.3%28 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Under13c113.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.42222.7%5 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Over69c112.78$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.424240.5%17 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c6…95a0backed Under12c100.02$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.02425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8042055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfef8…1681backed Over67c99.53$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.69520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under31c93.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4230731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under35c93.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.541,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c6e…f65fbacked Over67c88.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.259643.8%42 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2465954.5%359 W · 300 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x897a…1495backed Over16c85.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.984047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e96…61dfbacked Under73c82.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.691978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+54.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb4e…319cbacked Under25c81.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.321338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Under27c81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1611141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Over66c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa629…e15cbacked Under34c75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.59264.1%59 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc631…59a6backed Over67c74.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Over68c73.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502268.2%15 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cb…bda8backed Under35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4321847.2%103 W · 115 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…167dbacked Over66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3513042.3%55 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Over66c70$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0edd…3db1backed Over66c69.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.198151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1b…67b1backed Under36c69.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.449561.1%58 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over63c67.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4630247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over36c67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.241,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b2…c1febacked Over66c67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf180…9235backed Under45c66.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.046732.8%22 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x097f…60bcbacked Over66c66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under33c63.7$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7828559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.