Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff18952f2c284c157a889be682908ce9c881db5a76c309bb8c84b3acce6694ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,166 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Under | 18c | 14,840$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,102.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 29c | 12,250$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,729.76 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…132fbacked Over | 67c | 6,586$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 66c | 5,496$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.88 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Under | 34c | 4,787$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 53c | 4,678$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.18 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 15c | 4,473$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,790.99 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Under | 34c | 3,467$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.07 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 5c | 2,949$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.66 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c8…c34ebacked Under | 36c | 1,961$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Over | 72c | 1,755$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.58 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 9c | 1,717$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Over | 68c | 1,673$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.64 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Under | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.89 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 32c | 1,347$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.31 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Over | 67c | 1,313$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.24 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Over | 13c | 1,250$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Under | 32c | 1,165$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.49 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 69c | 1,161$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 32c | 868$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.59 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Over | 65c | 802.23$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.83 | 256 | 68.4%175 W · 81 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Under | 18c | 775.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.49 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Over | 66c | 758$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Over | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…fec8backed Over | 64c | 599.98$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 32c | 563.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.18 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 76c | 548.16$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.71 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Over | 67c | 446.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 32c | 442.05$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…6f82backed Under | 20c | 413.71$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 30c | 403.39$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 31c | 386.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.94 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 79c | 378.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…eb89backed Under | 13c | 373.18$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.78 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +97%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 66c | 367$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.22 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Over | 66c | 337.62$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Under | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 23c | 294.55$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…887fbacked Over | 66c | 292.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked Over | 69c | 288.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +122%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Under | 36c | 268.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.75 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…42ebbacked Under | 24c | 249.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Under | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.49 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Under | 25c | 236.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…685fbacked Over | 67c | 228.36$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 67c | 222.27$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Under | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Under | 35c | 199.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 67c | 184.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Over | 67c | 162.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Under | 33c | 150$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 31c | 146.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…5696backed Under | 34c | 145$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…0ad7backed Under | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Under | 19c | 137.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 160 | 35%56 W · 104 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…0175backed Under | 34c | 137$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Under | 23c | 134.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…43a9backed Under | 35c | 129.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 70c | 128.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 383 | 44.6%171 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba8…5798backed Over | 65c | 127.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 34c | 126.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 762 | 46.9%357 W · 405 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…b352backed Over | 68c | 119.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Under | 13c | 113.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 69c | 112.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Under | 12c | 100.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfef8…1681backed Over | 67c | 99.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 31c | 93.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 35c | 93.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…f65fbacked Over | 67c | 88.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 659 | 54.5%359 W · 300 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…1495backed Over | 16c | 85.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…61dfbacked Under | 73c | 82.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 58cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…319cbacked Under | 25c | 81.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 27c | 81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Over | 66c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa629…e15cbacked Under | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…59a6backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Over | 68c | 73.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed Under | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ba…ee0ebacked Over | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed Over | 66c | 69.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…67b1backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 63c | 67.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 36c | 67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…c1febacked Over | 66c | 67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…9235backed Under | 45c | 66.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…60bcbacked Over | 66c | 66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 33c | 63.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group AG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.