Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed5f4e073c290c2f155be7ac28fb197d11c52d6578946a6dd1293c87113a3d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,085 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 1c | 3,761$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 64c | 1,485$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.15 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Over | 27c | 1,212$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 26c | 980.35$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.74 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…9a65backed Over | 33c | 660.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…e2febacked Under | 73c | 640.99$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 75c | 637.93$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 26c | 597.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked Under | 72c | 490$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 139 | 71.2%99 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Under | 73c | 460$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Over | 25c | 423.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 417.03$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.79 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 70c | 404.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.79 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…4041backed Under | 75c | 328.16$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…8fe6backed Over | 26c | 300.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Under | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 68c | 278.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…0a9bbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…7345backed Under | 69c | 263.45$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 195 | 41%80 W · 115 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 26c | 255.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Over | 44c | 223.89$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 201.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Over | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 24c | 173.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4894…a083backed Under | 71c | 165.81$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 31c | 157.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d9…51c5backed Under | 73c | 137.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…e2a2backed Under | 76c | 131.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 34c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 24c | 111.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Over | 30c | 99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a3…a5f1backed Over | 28c | 92.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Under | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 26c | 67.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 73c | 58.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…0098backed Under | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…52afbacked Over | 27c | 49.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Under | 73c | 47.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…486cbacked Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…3c91backed Under | 73c | 34.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…b7abbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1c…0e0cbacked Under | 75c | 32.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…f948backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Under | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…fdbfbacked Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe98…2566backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group AG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.