Us Politics · resolved market
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5a06c3b79f72f1abfd6bb4e360f627180fcb723a42f273ee625c4d6e65d241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,204,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,445,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,204,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3979…f49ebacked Yes | 0c | 226,767$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 1c | 175,536$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…986fbacked Yes | 1c | 124,291$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.79 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…9a88backed Yes | 1c | 107,508$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 1c | 101,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.72 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…a126backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…282fbacked Yes | 0c | 96,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 0c | 92,462$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7e…158dbacked Yes | 0c | 90,600$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 81,237$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.58 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fa…e14cbacked Yes | 1c | 68,691$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +241.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…62febacked Yes | 1c | 60,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…58debacked Yes | 2c | 53,585$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…dfbebacked Yes | 1c | 53,236$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7eb…a09bbacked Yes | 1c | 53,109$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb1…0644backed Yes | 8c | 52,145$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…3d64backed Yes | 0c | 52,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…1853backed Yes | 0c | 47,164$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…fe8bbacked Yes | 1c | 46,975$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Yes | 0c | 41,516$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…aa46backed Yes | 1c | 40,127$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 2c | 34,664$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Yes | 0c | 31,425$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…488bbacked Yes | 1c | 30,297$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…e79cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,152$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…f49cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…1b55backed Yes | 1c | 27,610$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.38 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x627a…cdc2backed Yes | 1c | 27,512$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…482dbacked Yes | 1c | 27,198$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.9 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…937abacked Yes | 1c | 27,143$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…1657backed Yes | 1c | 26,818$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1b…c8cebacked Yes | 0c | 25,870$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 8c | 25,538$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.3 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf7…0741backed Yes | 0c | 25,050$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yes | 1c | 24,395$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bb…bdb9backed Yes | 1c | 24,092$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…e3e0backed Yes | 5c | 24,051$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Yes | 0c | 23,134$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…3723backed Yes | 1c | 23,046$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 2c | 21,229$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 7c | 21,154$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.25 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 5c | 20,090$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.61 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…c275backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b88…5e2ebacked Yes | 3c | 19,395$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…8c07backed Yes | 4c | 18,011$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.85 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…f15bbacked Yes | 4c | 17,907$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…8efabacked Yes | 0c | 17,894$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 6c | 17,839$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.14 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 5c | 16,433$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.46 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 1c | 16,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62c…f445backed Yes | 0c | 15,177$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b3…9d7dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,680$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…35d9backed Yes | 1c | 13,329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…5700backed Yes | 1c | 12,731$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…8f85backed Yes | 1c | 12,641$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 1c | 12,391$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…739fbacked Yes | 4c | 11,712$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.45 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b61…d036backed Yes | 1c | 11,128$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 7c | 10,888$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.39 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd83…28f1backed Yes | 1c | 10,858$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…c0efbacked Yes | 0c | 10,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…0091backed Yes | 7c | 10,552$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…5cc2backed Yes | 1c | 10,194$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,179$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…8297backed Yes | 1c | 10,092$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a44…e4e8backed Yes | 4c | 9,999$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…782fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,892$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 22c | 9,886$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.5 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…667ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,681$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…7a5fbacked Yes | 45c | 9,144$4,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,109.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…5b36backed Yes | 1c | 8,860$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed Yes | 0c | 8,746$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 1c | 8,526$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3d…f421backed Yes | 1c | 8,517$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…911fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,353$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 8c | 8,000$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.13 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Yes | 2c | 7,757$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 1c | 7,624$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 1c | 7,500$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.46 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 3c | 7,371$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423b…cb44backed Yes | 0c | 7,063$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 25c | 6,849$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.8 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 5c | 6,231$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 9c | 6,162$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.62 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…12b5backed Yes | 1c | 6,111$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…78c0backed Yes | 0c | 6,022$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388d…781abacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…3181backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…8ef1backed Yes | 1c | 5,970$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…2190backed Yes | 1c | 5,575$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…efb4backed Yes | 1c | 5,187$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 5,165$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…ee62backed Yes | 1c | 5,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed Yes | 9c | 4,999$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.1 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…3e5fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,945$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.