Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18a76cbd702e37c482ef65ab236a6c8ad9126e8de0e3807ee8da8057e03987f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 46c | 38,315$17,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,523.32 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 64c | 15,662$9,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,710.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 36c | 11,605$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 40c | 10,039$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed No | 31c | 9,409$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,521.87 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed No | 71c | 8,885$6,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.69 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed Yes | 6c | 6,867$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.45 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed Yes | 14c | 6,224$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0681…f713backed Yes | 13c | 5,590$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 53c | 4,950$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.42 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 73c | 4,250$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.99 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f77…b4e3backed No | 59c | 4,092$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 27c | 3,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 14c | 3,600$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.13 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 36c | 3,595$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 70c | 3,325$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.07 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 30c | 3,276$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 28c | 3,258$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.83 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…a861backed Yes | 20c | 3,059$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 59c | 2,999$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.29 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 72c | 2,471$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.39 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…89cfbacked No | 31c | 2,100$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 61c | 1,957$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.77 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,950$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.55 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c51cbacked Yes | 67c | 1,903$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 30c | 1,847$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.96 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,780$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.53 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed No | 76c | 1,711$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 55c | 1,577$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.03 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 76c | 1,529$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.82 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,442$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…d1d1backed Yes | 72c | 1,385$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 68c | 1,342$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…07eebacked Yes | 17c | 1,323$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,314$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 3c | 1,264$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…d281backed Yes | 2c | 1,254$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 9c | 1,245$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 62c | 1,111$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.82 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 65c | 1,100$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…3d7cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,022$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…9fc2backed No | 32c | 1,000$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…e4e4backed No | 75c | 960.09$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed No | 73c | 935.51$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 67c | 925.21$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 37c | 892.27$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.42 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 77c | 883$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked No | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 32c | 775.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 70c | 749.08$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.59 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 16c | 709.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed No | 69c | 682.16$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed No | 30c | 663.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.15 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7be…cc5cbacked No | 54c | 642.21$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 18c | 615.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 9c | 614.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 68c | 601.4$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.41 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 37c | 598.44$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.63 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb56…3fc0backed No | 47c | 588.06$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…7b42backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…dcc9backed No | 77c | 497.01$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed No | 64c | 492.7$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked No | 77c | 484.68$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 14c | 470$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…8cf9backed Yes | 2c | 445.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…398bbacked No | 22c | 443.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…c6c4backed No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 16c | 381.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 376.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 11c | 364.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 5c | 352.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…c45fbacked No | 80c | 333$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 45c | 330.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked No | 63c | 316.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 39c | 276.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.82 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0557…f3a5backed Yes | 11c | 274.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 36c | 257.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 59c | 227.45$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…d733backed No | 63c | 215.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f2…a7b7backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…bfedbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 66c | 187.71$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…4b34backed Yes | 35c | 183$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 36c | 180$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…421dbacked No | 28c | 180$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9593…7411backed Yes | 74c | 174.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 66c | 163.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 72c | 163.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.