Us Politics · resolved market
50% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110171b6e31da3fffc07ea92bdf5de6911b94e521e660543b8cac682791c7b79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 63c | 3,689$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.01 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,039$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 22c | 1,819$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.43 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 77c | 1,412$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.9 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…46bbbacked Yes | 80c | 1,045$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 79c | 890.99$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked Yes | 75c | 784.15$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 34c | 755$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.27 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…60e0backed No | 54c | 705.51$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…1f2cbacked Yes | 72c | 700$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 5c | 634.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 65c | 603$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…458cbacked No | 65c | 602.14$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…7f66backed Yes | 70c | 570.56$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 23c | 543.71$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 48c | 523.46$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.05 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 4c | 510.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…f829backed Yes | 59c | 497.28$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 42c | 451.61$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.27 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 24c | 425.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 31c | 389.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…150ebacked Yes | 56c | 376.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 20c | 358.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 356.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…e003backed No | 64c | 311.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…4639backed No | 40c | 271.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed No | 24c | 270.01$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed No | 19c | 269.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 42c | 269.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 14c | 251.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked No | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…9ff1backed Yes | 5c | 249.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 64c | 247.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 37c | 242.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…2d2cbacked Yes | 5c | 213.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…4ea5backed Yes | 15c | 203.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 201$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…d9f7backed Yes | 73c | 200.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2711…cd8bbacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…a691backed Yes | 12c | 197.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed No | 20c | 190$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 22c | 187.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x064c…2de1backed No | 64c | 168.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 39c | 166.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 75c | 166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…4e4cbacked Yes | 65c | 164.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…a533backed Yes | 62c | 161.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcee…bda5backed Yes | 53c | 159.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…fefdbacked Yes | 77c | 129.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…f13abacked No | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a4…0b9ebacked Yes | 79c | 127.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9206…8588backed No | 41c | 123.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 32c | 122.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed No | 63c | 115.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…7e23backed Yes | 36c | 112.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 47c | 110.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 46c | 105.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 58c | 105.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…995cbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bd…648bbacked Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ce…f071backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…e8eabacked Yes | 63c | 92.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 49c | 90.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8b50backed Yes | 51c | 89.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…b862backed Yes | 69c | 87.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…b879backed Yes | 49c | 80.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 67c | 79.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…0d3fbacked Yes | 66c | 73.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked No | 69c | 72.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked No | 29c | 62.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…67b1backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…7134backed Yes | 70c | 56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 43c | 54.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a5…92e0backed No | 38c | 52.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…72b8backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…eb2abacked Yes | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea0…8e12backed No | 68c | 40.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 53c | 35.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…a11fbacked No | 30c | 34.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 46c | 32.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…93a4backed Yes | 61c | 32.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…44febacked No | 35c | 32.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9560backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…b608backed Yes | 61c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…9e43backed Yes | 52c | 28.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 46c | 28.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…80e4backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…ed0ebacked No | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65f…8240backed Yes | 76c | 26.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…7690backed Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…829ebacked No | 49c | 20.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.