TailMyPicks
Market

Euroleague · resolved market

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Valencia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valenciaof Hapoel Tel Aviv, Valencia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b7c…5f83backed Valencia39c1,817$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.5314542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv61c1,633$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Valencia36c1,435$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.4316235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c1,279$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.0714847.3%70 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Valencia41c1,088$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.0336939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Valencia17c1,000$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+84.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Valencia37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd5…93f2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv63c981.55$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Valencia27c933.28$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3914447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv41c905.45$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1710050%50 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv15c905.33$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.9343543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Valencia29c856.92$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.5354251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Valencia29c692.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.412941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Hapoel Tel Aviv59c679.22$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv63c667.47$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.127557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Valencia7c600$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5581723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick11cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv63c577.89$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Valencia42c480.97$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.9626544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…7a4ebacked Valencia31c479.69$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.693636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Valencia49c435.76$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia13c380.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0435234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv38c368.45$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.431651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv56c340$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.84050%20 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Valencia36c294$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18710941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Valencia31c273.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6512041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Valencia10c246.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+168%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12811455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Valencia35c199.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia44c190.82$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hapoel Tel Aviv66c165.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8728943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Valencia36c164$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv79c159.87$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8212268.9%84 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007153.5%38 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv65c154.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv65c152.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9608…7b7ebacked Valencia36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Valencia36c139$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Valencia36c129$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.564100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x088e…a660backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c105$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Valencia28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…2f4dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv55c94.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.35850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x309d…3a8abacked Valencia37c77$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Valencia36c75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Valencia46c73.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Valencia37c73$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+43.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Valencia36c72.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5231446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Valencia36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Valencia37c67.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.576233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Valencia36c67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.881030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Valencia36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Valencia36c56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.847733.8%26 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ae…bdfcbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv63c56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Valencia36c54$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Valencia36c53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.921172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Valencia37c45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.351650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…6413backed Hapoel Tel Aviv65c44.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Valencia36c44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.16742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv37c41.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.314146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Valencia54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.46363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c38$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Valencia36c36.35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2610945.9%50 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df7…a8edbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-57.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Valencia37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa305…73c9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d7…f2d1backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv63c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x279b…7d84backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Hapoel Tel Aviv63c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Valencia48c23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0312454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…d929backed Hapoel Tel Aviv63c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.49650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce01…5c2abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2579…d6cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c19$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv64c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv64c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv73c15.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.561154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.