Movies · resolved market
Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa548a32dc6ee00de49f8bcb178e281b977b7314a91eaac0f39feb1e623632578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 58c | 2,607$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.3 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed Yes | 33c | 2,180$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c3…4a0cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,553$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 44c | 1,045$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.02 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 59c | 700$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 42c | 694.21$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.68 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed No | 43c | 622.21$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 59c | 600$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 54c | 424$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.4 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f26…8022backed Yes | 56c | 345$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…4920backed No | 44c | 345$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…5cf9backed Yes | 56c | 325$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 58c | 320$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…e5a1backed Yes | 57c | 320$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed Yes | 59c | 319.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…7e63backed Yes | 57c | 303$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 29c | 267.72$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…35febacked Yes | 56c | 267.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3c…21dbbacked Yes | 57c | 239$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…6ad7backed Yes | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…5c5fbacked Yes | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…1e20backed No | 43c | 220$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 42c | 211.22$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.38 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2448…7769backed No | 44c | 205$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed No | 69c | 202.9$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…8879backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…c5aebacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…d2cfbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 56c | 199.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a6…b03bbacked Yes | 58c | 197$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…0ed9backed No | 42c | 197$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…3fcdbacked No | 43c | 189$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…aa70backed No | 42c | 187.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…3db8backed Yes | 56c | 187$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c6…4af9backed No | 44c | 187$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…2596backed Yes | 57c | 185$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…9de9backed No | 43c | 185$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 60c | 184.66$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…065bbacked Yes | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…8298backed No | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…41e9backed Yes | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…1158backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…b02bbacked No | 44c | 165$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…0a58backed No | 44c | 165$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c3…bc53backed Yes | 56c | 165$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…ed0abacked Yes | 56c | 162$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…fae3backed No | 44c | 162$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…5764backed Yes | 58c | 158$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…0c2fbacked No | 42c | 158$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…f121backed Yes | 58c | 158$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1305…b546backed No | 42c | 158$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…a6d2backed Yes | 56c | 154$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff2…f5dbbacked No | 44c | 154$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ca5fbacked Yes | 59c | 153.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 41c | 152.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…584bbacked No | 44c | 152$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…902fbacked Yes | 56c | 152$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…9e3fbacked Yes | 56c | 151$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…66b2backed No | 44c | 151$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117e…bf16backed Yes | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7a…17cebacked No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 42c | 149.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…9603backed No | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1569backed Yes | 56c | 138$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…4adbbacked No | 43c | 131$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1622backed Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135b…5aedbacked No | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…fecebacked Yes | 57c | 127$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…aa2abacked No | 43c | 127$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Yes | 54c | 126.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Yes | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4555…2cf4backed No | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…3e43backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb507…1fe3backed Yes | 57c | 121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…f8aebacked No | 43c | 121$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…1ac3backed No | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…d57fbacked No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…cf6abacked No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +251.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…3c23backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…811fbacked Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46aa…51fdbacked No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141d…3af0backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64cbbacked Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 42c | 119$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9b47backed No | 44c | 118$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…d426backed Yes | 56c | 118$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…35cabacked Yes | 59c | 116.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…39ccbacked Yes | 57c | 110$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…bf44backed No | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…2d26backed No | 43c | 108$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce14…4f57backed No | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…c6dabacked Yes | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…bcb3backed No | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42d…69d8backed Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…8b59backed Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…e9cabacked Yes | 56c | 108$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…d8a2backed No | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Anora' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?this page
- Will 'A Real Pain' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will 'Challengers' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?Yes won
- Will 'The Substance' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?No won
- Will 'Wicked' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.