TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Pistons (To Advance)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons6c17,090$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.221,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Pistons33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.997953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Pistons7c4,930$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.044841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4344…caefbacked Knicks70c4,408$3,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.773148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x637a…6d23backed Pistons23c4,277$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-69.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons7c2,841$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.432,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Knicks78c2,818$2,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.963551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Pistons22c2,818$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.9610926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Knicks79c2,570$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.7716537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Knicks79c2,520$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52220050.5%101 W · 99 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Pistons17c2,500$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9361740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe9…8826backed Knicks67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6604143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Pistons21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Pistons9c1,916$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3316436.6%60 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Pistons17c1,890$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.313133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pistons18c1,722$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.291,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Knicks67c1,678$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.578167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks78c1,538$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4629643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49573051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Pistons21c1,422$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5519448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…cdcbbacked Pistons11c1,246$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Knicks78c1,004$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.491,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pistons20c1,000$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2930251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x609e…0996backed Pistons20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Knicks78c999.99$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203658.3%21 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons21c999.96$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.991,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3575…4f23backed Pistons39c750.63$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.251844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pistons31c706.89$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.131,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Pistons17c677$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.095433.3%18 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe5…4e08backed Pistons6c654.61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.130%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…fed6backed Knicks77c652.66$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.632853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Pistons33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Pistons33c570$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4930641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons14c567$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.781,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Pistons22c554.54$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12226640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Pistons23c534.78$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12222939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Pistons7c511$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.411,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Pistons4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.515724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Pistons24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Pistons4c468.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15984.1%4 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-61.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Pistons20c459.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.57731.2%24 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+37%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Pistons22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…bc7fbacked Pistons33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Pistons23c386.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x82d8…1a9ebacked Knicks79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Pistons8c320.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5795.1%4 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Pistons16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons34c295.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5128347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Pistons18c283.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508943.8%39 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Knicks78c279.45$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4820248%97 W · 105 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Knicks67c277.21$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.481776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Pistons22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6a…62c5backed Pistons34c177$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Pistons6c171.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Knicks79c168.77$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ce…4fb1backed Pistons19c163.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb633…0dd5backed Knicks72c138.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Pistons20c127.63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.523930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…c364backed Pistons15c127.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.063935.9%14 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+57.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Knicks79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5889353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Knicks79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb2…a893backed Knicks68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.65837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Pistons22c112.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Pistons23c109.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7441227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Pistons22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2214438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Knicks78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46b…5dabbacked Pistons32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210226.5%27 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7864…d437backed Pistons33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…6a8abacked Knicks78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pistons19c92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.572,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Knicks75c88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2280146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Pistons30c87.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2523135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf398…51e2backed Pistons25c84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21100%0 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29e0…3c7abacked Knicks67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e58…99b8backed Knicks79c63.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.621471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Pistons21c62.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0510551.4%54 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Pistons33c62.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5920756%116 W · 91 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Pistons19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45225%13 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa93…afc1backed Knicks80c58$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.62245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5da1…980bbacked Pistons20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a0…ac6abacked Knicks79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.38349.4%41 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5963…9ee3backed Pistons34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick36cpaid-60.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ed…dbdcbacked Knicks71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542937.9%11 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Knicks79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6513969.1%96 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4292…77d1backed Knicks79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e06…a499backed Knicks79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.