TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Men's: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Gea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Geaof Lehecka, Gea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Gea56c10,528$5,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.678,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Lehecka64c7,393$4,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,746.888158%47 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Gea60c6,005$3,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,377.092,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Gea26c5,419$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,014.52,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da8…e5afbacked Lehecka52c5,374$2,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,791.181040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Lehecka64c4,221$2,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.4415765.6%103 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick66cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gea41c3,670$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.682,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gea47c3,319$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.676,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gea48c3,231$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Gea38c3,000$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.4459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Lehecka68c3,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Gea36c2,930$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.4857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Lehecka64c1,664$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0652839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Lehecka34c1,531$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.721,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Lehecka26c1,500$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.793868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa450…452fbacked Lehecka65c1,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9752725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Lehecka51c1,500$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.991,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…097ebacked Lehecka48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.68825%22 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Gea27c1,120$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.611843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Gea27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0347639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gea67c1,082$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.0711,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Lehecka74c1,037$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.1694355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Lehecka69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69014643.2%63 W · 83 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Lehecka52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52060753.7%326 W · 281 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde69…e82ebacked Lehecka33c994.64$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.476756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2ce…b596backed Lehecka63c859.67$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.991442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4192…7f00backed Lehecka8c837.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675030%15 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+45.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Gea75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5586…e117backed Lehecka10c722.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702025%5 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+56.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lehecka73c700$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51127944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Gea26c650$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48122723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Gea40c599.45$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.527427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Lehecka75c533.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Gea37c509.41$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.9328444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Gea27c500$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Gea26c499.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.991,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Gea27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.994626.1%12 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e3…84bfbacked Gea48c477$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Lehecka47c445.6$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.072,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gea45c411.16$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.912,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Lehecka29c406.05$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4319023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Gea40c392.38$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1633256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Gea26c378.44$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.443441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Gea54c375.93$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9326158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca39…4ed7backed Lehecka59c322.52$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5514060.7%85 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Lehecka52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15511859.3%70 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Lehecka74c295$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.325433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Lehecka35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Lehecka73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…c864backed Gea28c267.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.862445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Gea59c266.01$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0228139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Gea68c257.79$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.792369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d5…4af2backed Lehecka69c238.72$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gea57c220.48$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7288455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Gea53c208.36$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9315951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Gea49c204.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4919134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Gea52c203.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2511122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Gea26c202$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.481,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Lehecka5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Lehecka48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9649632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Lehecka74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Lehecka73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1465554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Lehecka64c190.6$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Lehecka62c184.08$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.66540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c37…2994backed Lehecka11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Gea53c170$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.51,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Gea31c160.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7116158.4%94 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fc…d2a7backed Lehecka64c156.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Lehecka10c149.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154599.6%44 W · 415 L+1.9wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8854…070cbacked Gea46c141.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.952055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Lehecka13c140.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8211027.3%30 W · 80 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Lehecka74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6eac…5bc2backed Lehecka75c134$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.54245.2%19 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Gea67c128.22$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3173350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…244ebacked Lehecka73c117.52$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.79966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Lehecka21c116.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Lehecka10c113.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331368.1%11 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Lehecka74c112.16$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8315364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Gea26c101.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7539144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b0…482cbacked Lehecka74c101.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Lehecka38c84.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.522236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd29b…b518backed Lehecka48c83.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9910843.5%47 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lehecka59c83$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.341,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x214a…7451backed Lehecka40c81.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c8…dd64backed Lehecka64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013461.9%83 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x935b…a5cebacked Lehecka62c72.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Gea71c71.28$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3460661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…43e9backed Gea29c71.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Gea26c70.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.113429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Lehecka74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Lehecka74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Lehecka74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbef4…92c8backed Gea29c66.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+157.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb58a…ca54backed Gea30c55.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Lehecka42c53.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3114947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Lehecka40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Gea26c49.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.981,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ad…c3c9backed Gea35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Lehecka60c42.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5515445.5%70 W · 84 L-16.6wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Lehecka47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019744.2%87 W · 110 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.