Us Politics · resolved market
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e52d1483096968b8409141180d0485696eb93e621bc9075295ea1a34d8dadd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,108$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,821$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,380$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed Yes | 3c | 1,906$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Yes | 1c | 1,467$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 9c | 1,459$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 75c | 1,053$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.34 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3083…7d86backed Yes | 2c | 979.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…5511backed Yes | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…46fbbacked Yes | 2c | 630$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a1cfbacked Yes | 2c | 589.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 11c | 507.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…f499backed Yes | 3c | 445.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 21c | 367.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 15c | 366.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 5c | 307.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 15c | 272.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ce…5621backed No | 69c | 163$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…c3c0backed Yes | 31c | 143$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…77f7backed Yes | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 25c | 122$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…b8e3backed Yes | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32fb…8bcfbacked Yes | 31c | 117$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…6a6bbacked Yes | 11c | 95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…ca2fbacked No | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d2…d39abacked Yes | 31c | 76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…105fbacked Yes | 15c | 73.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 18c | 66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…95f1backed Yes | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…158abacked No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…eaeabacked Yes | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…2ca8backed Yes | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…6179backed Yes | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…f3d3backed Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…bef5backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…3094backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…f590backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…1ce6backed No | 69c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…5625backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…1b8cbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…3c06backed No | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…7de0backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0d…e4aabacked No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…bf06backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…8bb9backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…f47dbacked No | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…0310backed No | 76c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…dd15backed No | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…c291backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7386…67f9backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…b374backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…0669backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ac…087abacked No | 70c | 19.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +191.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?this page
- Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.