Us Politics · resolved market
Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7728acd127730271649ac881db97cae057613138ebe0b4e5228435197cbe553e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 10,121$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…8387backed Yes | 5c | 2,339$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,215.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,786.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 9c | 2,090$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.29 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed Yes | 20c | 1,859$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.38 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 1,515$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.74 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…ddf6backed Yes | 7c | 1,490$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +735%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 65c | 1,296$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 10c | 991.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 65c | 740$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.09 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 10c | 320.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.82 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 7c | 305$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…fcd3backed Yes | 6c | 281$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,654.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 245.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked Yes | 9c | 242.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404e…6351backed Yes | 6c | 238$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,654.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.51 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…77dfbacked No | 61c | 187$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed Yes | 43c | 186.25$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 14c | 172$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…e00cbacked Yes | 10c | 148$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +483.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 34c | 144.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 25c | 136$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 22c | 130$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3660…33a1backed Yes | 10c | 123$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +930.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a1cfbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…7d91backed No | 74c | 90.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fe…dba6backed Yes | 61c | 79$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…78eebacked No | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8d58backed No | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…06fbbacked Yes | 40c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc7…46e9backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…3c5cbacked Yes | 61c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe75…73f6backed Yes | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…7b77backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…9bc3backed No | 44c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…e5d3backed Yes | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847b…1b56backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d09…ade3backed No | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0f…8077backed Yes | 48c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…7029backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…44a4backed No | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5801…9cc6backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524a…a571backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…8475backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3f…4439backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…0bb2backed No | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…6cecbacked Yes | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress?this page
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.