Us Politics · resolved market
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9ff2b96c76a203d3a5a2e54324320a92f5c42e471630a4240f41095e507d22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 1,402$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 34c | 1,037$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.01 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 60c | 976.85$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.05 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…7cf5backed Yes | 39c | 975.56$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.39 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850d…aae1backed No | 57c | 869.3$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 677.55$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.19 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…9a34backed Yes | 39c | 312.7$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed Yes | 46c | 305.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed No | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 42c | 271.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.69 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7b…3c8fbacked No | 61c | 255$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed No | 69c | 202.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.02 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 103 | 24.3%25 W · 78 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed No | 68c | 199.38$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…f957backed Yes | 12c | 186.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +178.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c9…ca6cbacked No | 60c | 178.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…257ebacked No | 69c | 164.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…3a4cbacked No | 54c | 163.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1da…d693backed No | 63c | 160.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1397…f763backed No | 61c | 157.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 40c | 157.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.59 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…24cabacked Yes | 8c | 151$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 31c | 150.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 38c | 145$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 38c | 144.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…0236backed No | 62c | 144.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…8908backed No | 64c | 140.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed Yes | 37c | 130$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6b…87e0backed Yes | 18c | 125$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ca…7e97backed No | 63c | 122.9$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2fa6backed Yes | 34c | 122$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…2786backed No | 54c | 121$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 58c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 235 | 43.8%103 W · 132 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…09b7backed No | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28b…63fbbacked No | 61c | 116.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 54c | 113.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…8f1dbacked No | 69c | 113.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 56c | 109.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…ef4cbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbd…5f98backed No | 64c | 95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Yes | 43c | 83.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd45…47e0backed No | 64c | 80.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…93cbbacked Yes | 32c | 78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe334…61fdbacked Yes | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 45c | 72.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…c9a5backed Yes | 39c | 72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 25c | 70.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…ca99backed No | 62c | 67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…2256backed Yes | 36c | 67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…7b49backed Yes | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec9…5b12backed Yes | 39c | 66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcec…d792backed Yes | 36c | 64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…6ddcbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef4…a7c9backed Yes | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…368bbacked Yes | 18c | 57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcabe…f499backed Yes | 27c | 56.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…9696backed Yes | 39c | 56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 36c | 55.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 36c | 53.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 318 | 40.3%128 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…4224backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…7b35backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…27a7backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…b0a3backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…e427backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27de…0568backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…0310backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…6ee9backed No | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f7…412cbacked Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c5…1ce6backed Yes | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882d…718abacked Yes | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…073abacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…2100backed Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9c…c9c3backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Yes | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6d…a174backed Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397b…6da7backed No | 54c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…ca1fbacked Yes | 36c | 42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa153…6f84backed Yes | 44c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…0f7abacked Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c6…95cfbacked Yes | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…fb22backed Yes | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8a…3dfabacked Yes | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…03eebacked No | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…b3e1backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f81…80a9backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…88debacked Yes | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…3891backed Yes | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 36.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…2c1bbacked Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…1891backed Yes | 38c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…c24abacked Yes | 37c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?this page
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.