Us Politics · resolved market
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eec9be8c0611e7f197574cb42eefe7dfcc521fd686ccb14f6a2eae80b114f2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 75c | 701.59$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.19 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 20c | 543.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.13 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…9162backed No | 24c | 348$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 75c | 334.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed No | 19c | 262.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed Yes | 72c | 231.03$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 23c | 210$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…4539backed No | 19c | 177$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431e…1ce6backed Yes | 21c | 172$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 18c | 160.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…bf29backed Yes | 21c | 153$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…cc02backed No | 27c | 140$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9798…ce02backed No | 15c | 128$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…397cbacked Yes | 21c | 122$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 79c | 119.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 79c | 117$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…e6ecbacked Yes | 76c | 115$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…3423backed No | 15c | 108$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d9…0dfdbacked No | 19c | 107$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 24c | 101$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 23c | 101$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 80c | 91.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…105fbacked No | 19c | 82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925f…03e1backed No | 19c | 79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df2…1541backed No | 79c | 76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…4627backed Yes | 76c | 76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…ce0cbacked No | 20c | 74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff31…5166backed No | 20c | 73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…7aeabacked No | 24c | 69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…650abacked No | 17c | 66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…9732backed Yes | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9274…f8fdbacked No | 24c | 65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…a7fcbacked Yes | 76c | 62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…a42cbacked Yes | 76c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…c3eebacked No | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…95bbbacked No | 79c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…785fbacked No | 19c | 58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…52d1backed Yes | 73c | 57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 73c | 55.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6064…9a91backed Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac02…793fbacked Yes | 76c | 55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 75c | 53.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…ca5bbacked No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…b8dbbacked No | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf829…7cd9backed No | 79c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked No | 42c | 47.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…fde4backed No | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…0e8fbacked Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…cfc5backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…cfcdbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ad…4622backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfc…963fbacked No | 30c | 39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…750ebacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…7053backed Yes | 76c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…0ce4backed No | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…794bbacked Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…7d2bbacked Yes | 80c | 27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…981abacked No | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…7de0backed Yes | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…0cb7backed Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8074…6646backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…75ccbacked No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…7da1backed Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7912…fa94backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…2f83backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…2240backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…15d3backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…c1dfbacked Yes | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…3c14backed Yes | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…9660backed Yes | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…7f63backed Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd54f…3690backed Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7271…efa9backed Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…63bebacked Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…fbcbbacked Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fa…c703backed Yes | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb83backed No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0214…9833backed Yes | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?this page
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.