Us Politics · resolved market
Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ddd086491cca4d951f4a98d8de44c2a225dfc3997e3c4283717d4463eb322f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 14c | 1,395$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 70c | 1,268$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.33 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed No | 16c | 1,235$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 999.99$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.2 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 22c | 733.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.09 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 60c | 472.33$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…1a1cbacked No | 25c | 363$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12f…b623backed Yes | 75c | 293$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…da0abacked No | 19c | 199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 30c | 187.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71d…fd05backed No | 8c | 186$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked No | 25c | 156.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8524…7d91backed Yes | 70c | 154.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…dbfbbacked No | 15c | 142$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…e66bbacked No | 16c | 138$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 26c | 132.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…9696backed No | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…aefebacked No | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 61c | 131.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…a05fbacked No | 11c | 131$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…2938backed No | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…21c4backed Yes | 77c | 123$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…9b81backed Yes | 71c | 109.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…05d6backed Yes | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb8…6a4bbacked No | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5366…2667backed No | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3932…aba3backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3eb…c286backed No | 16c | 99.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc8…3b17backed Yes | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8363backed No | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…7c07backed No | 14c | 87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793f…4ee5backed Yes | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 56 | 73.2%41 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…1dcabacked No | 28c | 78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…dcc5backed Yes | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…cd81backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…6676backed No | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…1865backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…0a78backed Yes | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked No | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0450…af70backed Yes | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…c33dbacked No | 17c | 63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedf…b4c3backed Yes | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…5ca2backed No | 65c | 50.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…0310backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89f7…82e1backed No | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2006…44bebacked No | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6a…a7eebacked Yes | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…6b49backed Yes | 74c | 39.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…e9f5backed No | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa12…db0bbacked Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…7535backed Yes | 52c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…2e8fbacked Yes | 77c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…ea6ebacked Yes | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…584abacked Yes | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…ebedbacked Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…20afbacked Yes | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…b863backed Yes | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…77a5backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…9d38backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…e1f5backed Yes | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…508cbacked Yes | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98e…eba3backed Yes | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…0d16backed Yes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…af8ebacked Yes | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hakeem Jeffries applaud during Trump's address to Congress?this page
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Chuck Schumer applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
- Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Mitch McConnell applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No won
- Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.