TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan Wawrinka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Wawrinka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$493,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$586,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $493,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed Auger-Aliassime75c100,000$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00012533.6%42 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Wawrinka25c70,000$17,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,500771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wawrinka25c42,409$10,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,790.4131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Wawrinka16c30,066$4,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,818.4980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Auger-Aliassime74c30,000$22,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,8006552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Auger-Aliassime74c21,065$15,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,495.9665959%389 W · 270 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wawrinka24c18,174$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Wawrinka10c15,396$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.772,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Auger-Aliassime76c13,707$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.5710756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Auger-Aliassime76c12,866$9,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.3148851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wawrinka26c12,471$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.9925428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6438…255bbacked Wawrinka0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wawrinka25c8,051$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.8511242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Auger-Aliassime73c7,694$5,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.914250.7%72 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-21%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Auger-Aliassime74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.24560%27 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b7…00a0backed Auger-Aliassime71c5,330$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.761323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-53.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wawrinka26c4,581$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.6421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Wawrinka26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04023126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Wawrinka1c3,923$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.142,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Auger-Aliassime79c3,024$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.7713260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Wawrinka28c2,782$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7799264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wawrinka18c2,763$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Wawrinka26c2,704$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.339541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Auger-Aliassime75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6719056.3%107 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Wawrinka25c2,622$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.395228.8%15 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wawrinka9c2,335$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.941,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Wawrinka27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.937736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f2…6bb7backed Wawrinka14c2,206$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Wawrinka26c2,177$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.5197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Wawrinka26c2,115$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wawrinka26c2,077$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.151,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Wawrinka28c2,034$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.652634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wawrinka24c2,015$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.7765647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…005fbacked Auger-Aliassime74c1,902$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.523669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wawrinka14c1,700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.148,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Wawrinka30c1,682$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Wawrinka27c1,644$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wawrinka14c1,593$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.622,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Auger-Aliassime74c1,583$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.675354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Wawrinka26c1,540$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.411843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Wawrinka31c1,423$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2939431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Auger-Aliassime73c1,371$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.885362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Auger-Aliassime73c1,302$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Auger-Aliassime72c1,148$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3694355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Auger-Aliassime73c1,122$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9417452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Wawrinka7c1,094$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6212033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Auger-Aliassime73c1,089$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6620653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Auger-Aliassime74c1,071$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7110757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Wawrinka25c1,000$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…f8e1backed Auger-Aliassime75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Wawrinka28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Auger-Aliassime74c999.99$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Wawrinka27c941.04$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.0819846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Wawrinka14c884.81$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7416133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Wawrinka25c836.2$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0516340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wawrinka15c832$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.421,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a5…d47bbacked Auger-Aliassime75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Wawrinka28c788.99$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7937339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Wawrinka26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Wawrinka27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wawrinka14c723.35$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Wawrinka25c701.24$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.31,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea0…9928backed Auger-Aliassime74c692.08$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Auger-Aliassime74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.683050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wawrinka15c672.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.522,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Wawrinka17c588.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Auger-Aliassime77c580.48$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.43,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Wawrinka27c557.51$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.454332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Wawrinka17c549.16$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2523735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Auger-Aliassime73c540$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc88…ab87backed Wawrinka17c529.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Auger-Aliassime73c521.4$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.782365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Wawrinka27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb0…4cd4backed Wawrinka25c469.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.492045%9 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Auger-Aliassime75c457.85$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.114146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Auger-Aliassime74c447.22$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0919466%128 W · 66 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bb…4c8abacked Wawrinka27c429.73$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0317158.5%100 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Wawrinka18c400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018551.4%95 W · 90 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Auger-Aliassime75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Wawrinka24c397.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6130131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Wawrinka26c389.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Wawrinka26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Wawrinka26c377.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Auger-Aliassime80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7538652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Wawrinka28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d8a…e03fbacked Auger-Aliassime75c353.91$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.342958.6%17 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Wawrinka13c350.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.683,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa913…cd20backed Wawrinka19c350$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.81816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8828…c29abacked Wawrinka27c346.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Auger-Aliassime73c332.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.7112450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ed…de73backed Wawrinka25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+56.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Auger-Aliassime73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3302…5397backed Auger-Aliassime78c293.84$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.314158.5%24 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4712…5bd6backed Auger-Aliassime75c273.52$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4414475%108 W · 36 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Auger-Aliassime73c271.77$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.381,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Wawrinka26c250$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.6416046.9%75 W · 85 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Wawrinka14c249.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9416132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Wawrinka28c248.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706127.9%17 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Auger-Aliassime74c247.14$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.424827.1%13 W · 35 L-6.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-48.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Auger-Aliassime71c240.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.851154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.