Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd5ba95d84c6370cb51bc9ec1678408ea60fed405529da1f66a32da0a63b60f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Wawrinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 2,527$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.36 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 1,801$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.18 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wawrinka | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wawrinka | 47c | 976.02$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wawrinka | 48c | 938.66$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.42 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Wawrinka | 52c | 524.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.99 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Wawrinka | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 315.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wawrinka | 48c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Wawrinka | 6c | 195$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Wawrinka | 31c | 160.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Wawrinka | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 100.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Wawrinka | 32c | 78.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Wawrinka | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 75.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Wawrinka | 55c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c4…a218backed Wawrinka | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Wawrinka | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Wawrinka | 56c | 53.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wawrinka | 54c | 48.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wawrinka | 29c | 45.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9154backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Wawrinka | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Auger-Aliassime | 46c | 32.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 75c | 32.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Wawrinka | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Wawrinka | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Wawrinka | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Wawrinka | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Wawrinka | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 23.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Wawrinka | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Wawrinka | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Wawrinka | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Wawrinka (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Wawrinka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Stan WawrinkaAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs WawrinkaAuger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.