Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Team Heretics vs. SK Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x110059b51215a0cbcf78bb25b3ff06b6542b48da3a2f62f9da2935691c11fa24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Gamingof Team Heretics, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed SK Gaming | 37c | 41,416$15,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,053.42 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Team Heretics | 73c | 20,536$14,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,896.83 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Heretics | 73c | 8,362$6,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,104.26 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Heretics | 43c | 6,982$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.24 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Team Heretics | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Team Heretics | 43c | 4,472$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed SK Gaming | 43c | 2,715$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SK Gaming | 28c | 2,091$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.4 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed SK Gaming | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed SK Gaming | 48c | 1,905$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.59 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed SK Gaming | 29c | 1,469$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.71 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked SK Gaming | 55c | 1,464$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.75 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SK Gaming | 31c | 1,421$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.48 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Team Heretics | 44c | 1,295$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.85 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked SK Gaming | 26c | 937$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.38 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Team Heretics | 39c | 805.33$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.08 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 73c | 713.62$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.94 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Team Heretics | 62c | 537.74$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.59 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed SK Gaming | 61c | 499.92$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.97 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked Team Heretics | 63c | 404.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba0…3d98backed Team Heretics | 61c | 387.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Team Heretics | 42c | 372.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.09 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Heretics | 54c | 360.05$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Team Heretics | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed SK Gaming | 42c | 289.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Heretics | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 504 | 55%277 W · 227 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed Team Heretics | 41c | 215$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Heretics | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa208…efaebacked Team Heretics | 67c | 145.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…7205backed Team Heretics | 29c | 144.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Team Heretics | 55c | 135.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed SK Gaming | 19c | 123.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 386 | 24.4%94 W · 292 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Team Heretics | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed Team Heretics | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Team Heretics | 74c | 108.11$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Team Heretics | 47c | 102.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…35c7backed Team Heretics | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…0650backed SK Gaming | 25c | 85.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefc…79dbbacked Team Heretics | 76c | 75.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Team Heretics | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…41c8backed Team Heretics | 76c | 53.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked SK Gaming | 71c | 50.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked SK Gaming | 46c | 48.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Team Heretics | 43c | 36.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Heretics | 45c | 35.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked Team Heretics | 76c | 35.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Heretics | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…d6a7backed Team Heretics | 76c | 33.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked Team Heretics | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.