Middle East · resolved market
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b2c5ddb72d05db4deec3c16577541b8bad978e10a7d311ff47f896108ceb81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $671,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $671,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84c6…c8c8backed Yes | 24c | 104,802$25,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,236.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 29c | 53,640$15,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,744.56 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 25c | 37,667$9,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,578.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 78c | 32,754$25,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.78 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb38…7935backed No | 67c | 15,572$10,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 40c | 12,705$5,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.13 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 18c | 11,816$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.01 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 64c | 11,669$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.02 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 20c | 10,395$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 15c | 7,961$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.84 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 77c | 7,697$5,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.32 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked No | 78c | 7,314$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.71 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 64c | 7,131$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.02 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 15c | 6,266$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.69 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed Yes | 29c | 4,586$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.91 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed No | 52c | 4,543$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 60c | 3,701$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.15 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -9.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…f050backed Yes | 23c | 3,352$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe680…8788backed Yes | 15c | 3,300$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.84 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 3c | 3,207$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 66c | 3,198$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.37 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 19c | 3,119$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.65 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f51ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,989$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…7fb5backed No | 69c | 2,958$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.68 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 78c | 2,826$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.9 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 26c | 2,684$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.09 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 75c | 2,415$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.16 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 45c | 2,228$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.08 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…0246backed Yes | 25c | 2,017$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.64 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed Yes | 23c | 1,933$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Yes | 11c | 1,930$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +279.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…f5adbacked Yes | 21c | 1,794$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…b248backed Yes | 43c | 1,665$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.69 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed No | 64c | 1,572$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 24c | 1,485$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed Yes | 38c | 1,405$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.56 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed No | 39c | 1,376$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked No | 52c | 1,335$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.56 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 22c | 1,272$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 1c | 1,117$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2083…962ebacked No | 68c | 1,101$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 64c | 1,071$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.56 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 3c | 1,061$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 26c | 1,018$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed60…9497backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…b8c7backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16b…d883backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 63c | 993.74$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 63c | 906.97$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.39 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed Yes | 14c | 901.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed No | 54c | 897$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…331ebacked Yes | 15c | 890.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked No | 65c | 883.29$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…8c33backed No | 74c | 858.76$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f17abacked Yes | 14c | 858.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 70c | 809.99$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -7.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked No | 41c | 770$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 29c | 753.19$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 261 | 38.7%101 W · 160 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f1…05e2backed No | 80c | 750.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 721.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.24 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed Yes | 21c | 715$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 14c | 712.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 70c | 710$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 25c | 708.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 49c | 607.48$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…56b5backed No | 66c | 606.03$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.41 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…29fcbacked Yes | 24c | 605.32$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca5…77b5backed Yes | 32c | 604.63$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…2b98backed Yes | 21c | 599.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…e4afbacked Yes | 18c | 558.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked Yes | 40c | 553.2$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 80c | 550$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8f…d077backed Yes | 46c | 544.11$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…77c3backed Yes | 19c | 533.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 30c | 503.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 20c | 426.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…03f4backed Yes | 24c | 382.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 28c | 372.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…e3ebbacked Yes | 60c | 366.8$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…c1c2backed Yes | 14c | 362.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…525abacked No | 66c | 360.09$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 28c | 340$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 18c | 335.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 61c | 328.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…f59cbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf823…324abacked No | 50c | 315.07$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…dbc0backed No | 67c | 310$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked No | 65c | 307.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 42c | 307.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 33c | 306.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eef…27f9backed Yes | 12c | 300.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 296.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.55 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 275.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…96a5backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Yes | 48c | 253.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6929…7cedbacked Yes | 12c | 249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.