Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: LYON vs. Team Liquid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66f2693348737f9662c65cf014bef9f707f2bc35d7756d86b87a65281924bab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Team Liquid | 67c | 13,655$9,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,134.7 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed LYON | 40c | 12,558$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,553 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,978$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.63 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked LYON | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 91 | 27.5%25 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Team Liquid | 17c | 2,526$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.21 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,393$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed LYON | 30c | 2,239$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.16 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 550$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.51 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…4bcabacked LYON | 31c | 550$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Team Liquid | 69c | 523.8$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.44 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked LYON | 51c | 393.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LYON | 12c | 333$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c8…0de1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 171.57$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed LYON | 57c | 158.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed LYON | 14c | 150$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed LYON | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Team Liquid | 40c | 119.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed LYON | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc7…dfe0backed LYON | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…c828backed LYON | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3f…850bbacked LYON | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Team Liquid | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.