Us Politics · resolved market
Trump releases Epstein list today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a1048bfe5eb87c5529277963b33d42a40ee2c8478c8bc6307352e27bec8e221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,632,486
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,395,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,632,486 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fb0…ac80backed No | 0c | 525,439$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed No | 0c | 489,892$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…975dbacked No | 0c | 267,608$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…fb9ebacked No | 0c | 241,087$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd72…6be5backed No | 0c | 216,646$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…3dd5backed No | 1c | 177,040$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…00b9backed No | 0c | 168,783$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…ebd2backed No | 0c | 136,550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3b…47bebacked No | 0c | 119,950$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked No | 1c | 112,595$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.35 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…5cd8backed No | 0c | 112,380$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b85…4bafbacked No | 1c | 110,899$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…7724backed No | 0c | 108,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…4e95backed No | 0c | 102,960$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…5185backed No | 0c | 101,324$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf207…1adcbacked No | 1c | 100,149$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…fed3backed No | 0c | 99,600$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a3…52c6backed No | 0c | 96,308$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28b…63fbbacked No | 0c | 94,460$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…a450backed No | 0c | 94,170$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f3…ada9backed No | 0c | 93,964$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd581…c8febacked No | 0c | 93,430$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…e1adbacked No | 0c | 83,516$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3979…f49ebacked No | 0c | 80,830$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 77c | 73,097$56,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,093.78 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…b24dbacked No | 1c | 70,016$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed No | 0c | 69,420$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9240…a7c7backed No | 0c | 68,887$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 0c | 63,955$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…df20backed No | 0c | 62,129$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +513.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e0…b2edbacked No | 0c | 61,302$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…c98bbacked No | 0c | 57,412$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…c62dbacked No | 1c | 57,381$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…e570backed No | 0c | 53,333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…8b50backed No | 0c | 51,630$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked No | 0c | 50,626$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed No | 0c | 46,194$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ca…7e97backed No | 0c | 45,610$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed No | 0c | 43,717$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…b03fbacked No | 0c | 43,428$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…d5f1backed No | 1c | 42,896$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…950ebacked No | 0c | 42,041$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 0c | 39,204$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b8…f54cbacked No | 0c | 38,420$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…efebbacked No | 0c | 37,888$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…ef4bbacked No | 0c | 37,328$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…a3aebacked No | 11c | 36,468$4,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,149.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…2f51backed No | 0c | 33,998$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…5d3fbacked No | 1c | 32,231$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 3c | 32,005$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.39 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed No | 0c | 31,607$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 6c | 31,574$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 2c | 31,145$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…7443backed No | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…901dbacked No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…32ebbacked No | 0c | 29,603$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…fcd6backed No | 33c | 28,900$9,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,578.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc496…35b7backed No | 0c | 26,873$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…e030backed No | 55c | 26,800$14,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,622.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08df…9eecbacked No | 0c | 26,403$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311a…b58cbacked No | 1c | 26,332$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…3f33backed No | 0c | 25,839$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805c…0549backed No | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7390backed No | 0c | 24,250$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…9dd2backed No | 0c | 23,888$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed No | 0c | 23,090$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…bdcabacked No | 0c | 22,702$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…02ccbacked No | 0c | 22,500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…23ffbacked No | 0c | 22,433$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…d384backed No | 0c | 20,600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…35d4backed No | 0c | 20,500$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked No | 0c | 20,007$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 38 | 0%0 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…4c47backed No | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409e…6458backed Yes | 54c | 19,794$10,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,178.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…41b1backed No | 0c | 19,518$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a05cbacked No | 5c | 18,913$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…ebf6backed No | 0c | 15,417$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked No | 0c | 15,207$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967c…a16dbacked No | 2c | 14,839$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.98 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…365fbacked No | 0c | 14,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed No | 0c | 14,291$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb661…3599backed No | 0c | 14,122$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…7239backed No | 0c | 13,383$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…d8a7backed No | 0c | 13,320$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed Yes | 67c | 13,212$8,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 0c | 13,125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 0c | 13,051$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb018…8891backed No | 0c | 13,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked No | 0c | 13,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c8…e402backed No | 11c | 12,941$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…3aaabacked No | 0c | 12,862$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55d…56e1backed No | 0c | 12,373$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked No | 48c | 12,027$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8870…f336backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b9…f7a6backed No | 0c | 11,531$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b70…1a3abacked No | 0c | 11,425$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1782…f8f7backed No | 0c | 11,335$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…4ab7backed No | 0c | 11,333$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed No | 24c | 11,292$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.67 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb1…2630backed No | 1c | 11,286$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.