Movies · resolved market
Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3aa2da6438696435176f7cb630bdf655a59dbb7f691a3d2ef256c271ff02b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa529…0818backed Yes | 4c | 31,697$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.47 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 29,823$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.39 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Yes | 1c | 21,755$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.96 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -92.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 1c | 17,647$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 12c | 14,788$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.98 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 13,625$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.89 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 8c | 12,523$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.6 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 11c | 9,992$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.95 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 4c | 9,712$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 3c | 7,601$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…559abacked Yes | 9c | 5,645$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 12c | 5,235$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.15 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 18c | 4,690$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.23 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 6c | 4,014$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.96 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 18c | 3,887$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.89 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 3,760$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…ee54backed Yes | 6c | 3,452$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,202$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Yes | 4c | 3,089$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…289abacked Yes | 0c | 2,343$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 8c | 2,290$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 2c | 2,055$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 5c | 2,003$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 7c | 1,984$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 17c | 1,916$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.35 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 3c | 1,671$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…a666backed Yes | 8c | 1,480$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Yes | 9c | 1,469$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,413$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…5b47backed Yes | 10c | 1,384$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…5185backed Yes | 1c | 1,277$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 9c | 1,257$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 6c | 1,141$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…4557backed Yes | 6c | 1,096$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…bbc2backed Yes | 9c | 1,034$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…9305backed Yes | 2c | 1,001$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…5e51backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdf…45cebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Yes | 3c | 900$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Yes | 6c | 879.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 6c | 788.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 9c | 764.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 5c | 734.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…159bbacked Yes | 28c | 715.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 7c | 710$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 3c | 695.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…e26bbacked Yes | 14c | 694.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 20c | 693.96$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.22 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 5c | 667$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +148%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked No | 78c | 654.78$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…90d6backed Yes | 8c | 649.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 21c | 621.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 20c | 608.5$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…1863backed Yes | 4c | 561.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +330.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…ea29backed Yes | 4c | 535.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf5…5beebacked Yes | 5c | 510$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 6c | 463.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 19c | 455.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 17c | 431.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…5b98backed Yes | 6c | 410$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…6987backed Yes | 6c | 396.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 19c | 396.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 3c | 382.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes | 3c | 324.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…31ebbacked Yes | 3c | 293.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…fe74backed Yes | 8c | 286.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…804dbacked Yes | 11c | 278.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…4d25backed Yes | 4c | 267.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…e58bbacked Yes | 11c | 262$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 18c | 255.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 10c | 253.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…ddf5backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…6637backed Yes | 9c | 234.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +295.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…21b8backed Yes | 9c | 233.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…6df2backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…0fdcbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…d811backed Yes | 6c | 198.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed Yes | 15c | 194.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11f…df5cbacked Yes | 14c | 170$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Yes | 9c | 156$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 8c | 141.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…7560backed Yes | 17c | 118.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…1947backed Yes | 20c | 116.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Yes | 12c | 91.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…f806backed Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…39c6backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…8058backed Yes | 16c | 64.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +420%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…c4eabacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?Yes won
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.