Movies · resolved market

Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab79e68949fab16ac760cf2beaadc6d1d20cece7d4c4174af0c8b547e1364a55

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $263,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes	12c	43,605$5,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,097	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…9b59backed Yes	11c	12,072$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.06	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	8c	11,935$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$979.96	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes	1c	10,553$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.43	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	121	4.1%5 W · 116 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-85%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	0c	8,794$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	187	19.3%36 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes	22c	7,510$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.03	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+9.6wins	+0.17per pick	27cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Yes	0c	5,421$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…900abacked Yes	0c	5,056$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x885d…70ecbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	18c	4,675$834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.01	184	31%57 W · 127 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9912…440cbacked Yes	10c	4,234$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86a2…be38backed Yes	13c	4,003$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.92	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf240…2392backed Yes	12c	3,864$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.16	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked Yes	14c	3,766$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.64	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	17c	3,650$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.73	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes	22c	3,550$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.01	160	40%64 W · 96 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes	12c	3,148$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.5	326	39.3%128 W · 198 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c5…b081backed Yes	24c	3,138$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.27	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2730…63eebacked Yes	1c	2,475$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1786…5b47backed Yes	14c	2,441$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.58	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	6c	1,661$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.59	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…3b8fbacked Yes	25c	1,622$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd923…f400backed Yes	19c	1,500$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6987…5f67backed Yes	42c	1,411$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$590	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…9200backed No	76c	1,411$1,069 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-34%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x60d5…98aebacked Yes	36c	1,219$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.48	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f2…94f1backed Yes	34c	1,134$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.72	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	26cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x387e…f013backed Yes	9c	1,098$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0d…d6f9backed Yes	14c	1,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	30cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bb4…8167backed No	21c	946$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.39	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+58%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef7…4206backed Yes	27c	901.2$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes	19c	862.13$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	21c	860.93$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.68	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	10c	848.88$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.3	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	24c	820$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.52	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2f…baccbacked Yes	15c	790.94$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.05	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff21…f489backed Yes	28c	709.04$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a9…a158backed Yes	7c	693.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes	26c	689.59$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.05	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3001…d5c3backed Yes	15c	656.7$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c1…a743backed Yes	21c	613.25$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.4	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes	19c	586.23$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.93	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes	12c	571$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.4	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes	27c	542.09$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes	6c	528.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.05	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…a39bbacked No	74c	478.8$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.62	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-71.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	34c	415$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.31	163	50.3%82 W · 81 L	+24.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x712f…9fe6backed Yes	12c	391.71$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x835b…6087backed Yes	24c	364.8$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.08	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes	30c	362.44$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.54	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…c70cbacked Yes	15c	340.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes	27c	304$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.08	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd053…f7c0backed Yes	35c	303.72$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	+148%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	15c	300$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes	5c	294.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e8e…a92dbacked Yes	21c	283.58$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb883…21b8backed Yes	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42f3…51e3backed Yes	10c	232.65$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.52	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+57.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes	21c	229.41$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Yes	14c	217$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb51b…06b7backed No	74c	216.49$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.29	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6880…8abebacked Yes	21c	205$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.44	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7de…b802backed Yes	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	118	36.4%43 W · 75 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b32…ddaabacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec87…26d8backed Yes	13c	193.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9393…1947backed Yes	19c	183.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.09	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2563…e287backed Yes	25c	169.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+122.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes	26c	156.96$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.25	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	16c	155.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.76	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes	15c	153.58$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.68	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes	24c	150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee5f…86aabacked Yes	21c	150$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Yes	32c	141.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.66	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae6f…ad0cbacked Yes	29c	137.35$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes	24c	122.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Yes	28c	115.62$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6e…ab49backed Yes	22c	111.61$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…e58bbacked Yes	14c	106.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…dddbbacked Yes	29c	100.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1998…be8cbacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d1…3ef3backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.16per pick	23cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57fe…804dbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36cb…810abacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x497b…31ebbacked Yes	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86ed…c1ecbacked Yes	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes	26c	92.64$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x260d…9679backed No	74c	92.28$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.65	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf5…5beebacked Yes	27c	91.57$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed Yes	18c	90.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdae5…9f53backed Yes	29c	87.52$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08e2…71b1backed Yes	29c	87.18$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c53…7fcebacked Yes	20c	75.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	22c	75.16$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.28	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+8.4wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d4…acaebacked Yes	23c	74.95$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cf…caa1backed Yes	27c	73.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+81.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes	27c	73.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes	29c	72.73$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?this page
Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?Yes won
Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?No won
Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?No won
Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?No won
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event