Movies · resolved market
Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ecb17957cf4a1c61b19d1e8c71165844e8f9fbb45a364f70af4a5e1b1ea3ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 45c | 18,510$8,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,130.47 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked No | 40c | 11,995$4,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,807 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 34c | 11,578$3,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,608.53 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 15c | 8,554$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,270.72 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 25c | 8,011$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.82 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 6c | 7,714$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 29c | 5,448$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.18 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 8c | 4,858$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448.54 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 75c | 4,463$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.88 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes | 19c | 4,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,260 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 5c | 3,792$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 53c | 3,728$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.68 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 28c | 2,494$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.1 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 74c | 2,378$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.43 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 2c | 2,218$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed Yes | 10c | 1,876$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.09 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Yes | 12c | 1,440$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked No | 14c | 1,423$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 14c | 1,359$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.1 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 9c | 1,350$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.5 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…0818backed No | 12c | 1,293$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.39 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 19c | 1,178$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.19 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 19c | 1,151$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.09 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 1,147$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…5b47backed Yes | 10c | 1,093$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a9…a158backed Yes | 30c | 979.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9283…4fc9backed Yes | 62c | 932.48$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…1b52backed Yes | 19c | 925$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 26c | 868.85$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.85 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 28c | 804.09$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.7 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 29c | 799.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 67c | 779.72$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.21 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes | 9c | 736.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 718.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.89 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…a666backed Yes | 13c | 670$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 18c | 631.36$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed No | 8c | 621.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…baccbacked Yes | 18c | 601.94$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 13c | 588.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.66 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed No | 35c | 565.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed Yes | 21c | 472.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…804dbacked Yes | 10c | 411.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 7c | 408.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…31ebbacked Yes | 7c | 397.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7de…b802backed Yes | 18c | 387.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.8 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes | 16c | 382.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.11 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 39c | 363.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes | 8c | 353.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 43c | 336.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.84 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f2…bbc2backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…1863backed Yes | 8c | 323.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +330.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…c2d9backed Yes | 31c | 321.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 11c | 300$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 20c | 295.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.64 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 20c | 293.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed Yes | 19c | 290.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…51e3backed Yes | 21c | 284.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06d…04e6backed Yes | 38c | 264.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 10c | 260$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.1 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…810abacked Yes | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792d…c475backed Yes | 12c | 248.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.81 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 23c | 238.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…f7c0backed Yes | 7c | 232$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +148%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 12c | 224.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.34 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 201.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…a743backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked No | 80c | 193.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…e287backed Yes | 13c | 190.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 25c | 181.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…caa1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…e58bbacked Yes | 41c | 165.22$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…27fcbacked Yes | 11c | 161.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 22c | 160$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…025bbacked Yes | 8c | 153.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd375…6637backed Yes | 13c | 146$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +295.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379d…54efbacked Yes | 19c | 137.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…f6c4backed No | 37c | 136.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…9305backed Yes | 19c | 129.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…ff2cbacked Yes | 17c | 120$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +262.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…f2ecbacked No | 38c | 117.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…3b00backed Yes | 26c | 107.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 11c | 106.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf5…5beebacked Yes | 24c | 105.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…7131backed Yes | 21c | 104.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 10c | 101.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…d421backed No | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…3afdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…f806backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11f…9a86backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…e531backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…a888backed No | 70c | 95.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.