Movies · resolved market

Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c4193001812cc2bf0dec73f4e9fd03969ec56f792a4b84567b1ff8a0793b387

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 25, 2024, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $248,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $166,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes	24c	32,980$7,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,791.05	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+68.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f99…9b59backed Yes	12c	17,764$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.16	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes	13c	14,020$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,851.64	160	40%64 W · 96 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes	14c	9,452$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.41	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-38%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes	14c	6,965$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.91	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	+9.6wins	+0.17per pick	27cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bb5…b365backed Yes	1c	6,322$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.36	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Yes	30c	6,000$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.6	184	31%57 W · 127 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a36…454bbacked Yes	10c	5,893$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.4	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	9c	5,554$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.28	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes	8c	5,293$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.65	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	9c	5,094$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.6	187	19.3%36 W · 151 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c5…b081backed Yes	14c	3,797$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.69	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes	18c	3,460$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.55	163	50.3%82 W · 81 L	+24.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8163…e061backed Yes	8c	3,158$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.83	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17b0…4041backed Yes	15c	2,978$442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2032…d577backed Yes	26c	2,972$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.6	200	49.5%99 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…2392backed Yes	8c	2,786$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.01	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a2…be38backed Yes	14c	2,603$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.78	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Yes	4c	2,300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.24	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…0818backed Yes	8c	1,726$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.49	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed Yes	13c	1,628$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.24	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11c8…be84backed Yes	33c	1,358$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.61	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes	7c	1,332$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.25	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabbc…a5ccbacked Yes	17c	1,316$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef7…4206backed Yes	19c	1,264$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c5…d5a0backed Yes	31c	1,252$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.14	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.26per pick	42cpaid	-76%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes	48c	1,121$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.9	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff21…f489backed Yes	18c	1,087$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes	23c	1,042$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.48	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccab…cb62backed Yes	10c	1,010$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	16	25%4 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1786…5b47backed Yes	16c	993.95$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Yes	22c	919.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+51.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…bc89backed Yes	20c	876.13$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	17c	843.37$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a9…a158backed Yes	37c	838.04$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.46	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c54…7e8cbacked Yes	6c	771.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.03	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-81%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes	15c	756.66$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.5	92	38%35 W · 57 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b50…6c55backed Yes	15c	679.7$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.3	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ba…9fd1backed Yes	9c	668.95$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.48	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c1…a743backed Yes	69c	660.71$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.7	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792d…c475backed Yes	10c	657.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1246…6192backed Yes	25c	653.59$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.6	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	30cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3826…84efbacked Yes	15c	634.74$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.26	74	14.9%11 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda2f…baccbacked Yes	10c	570.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.83	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033d…af05backed Yes	39c	547.55$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.41	131	50.4%66 W · 65 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79d2…9c24backed Yes	14c	542.81$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.59	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92e5…d129backed Yes	9c	522$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes	9c	508.83$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.66	150	54.7%82 W · 68 L	+30.5wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+62.6%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Yes	13c	500$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-69.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes	7c	500$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe241…29febacked Yes	15c	500$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes	14c	498.55$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.2	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d5…98aebacked Yes	33c	478.76$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.6	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712f…9fe6backed Yes	11c	478.23$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.55	86	33.7%29 W · 57 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes	17c	470.49$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.43	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes	27c	465.97$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x835b…6087backed Yes	22c	456.42$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.8	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	27cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b94…8183backed Yes	13c	455.09$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+112.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes	29c	450$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.3	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes	10c	441.57$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.38	166	14.5%24 W · 142 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes	9c	429.59$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdf…45cebacked Yes	10c	420$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…642abacked Yes	9c	405$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Yes	41c	400.45$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes	18c	389.01$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.02	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8db…a878backed Yes	57c	363.45$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa03d…698abacked Yes	57c	359.4$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd0…5e51backed Yes	6c	347.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189f…6aaabacked Yes	12c	340.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Yes	12c	335.8$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.41	23	13%3 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes	11c	317$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	12c	310$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.46	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f35…7594backed Yes	24c	306.22$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.1	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.23per pick	32cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3479…f2bdbacked Yes	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba57…1645backed Yes	9c	300$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ac…d62cbacked Yes	12c	275$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.3	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9283…4fc9backed Yes	44c	269.49$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-73%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf21a…3962backed No	42c	260.26$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.96	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x968a…ad43backed No	43c	258.21$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+133.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes	17c	254.92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.56	61	32.8%20 W · 41 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe085…5474backed Yes	7c	252.38$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6903…535bbacked No	42c	251.88$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…7d0cbacked Yes	10c	248.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2905…f83cbacked Yes	57c	246.59$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed No	58c	238.66$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.36	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ba…9059backed No	42c	237$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.46	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec87…26d8backed Yes	16c	234.09$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed No	48c	232.43$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.86	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Yes	15c	227.88$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7434…e58bbacked Yes	13c	222.58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.47	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x668d…97d2backed Yes	5c	222$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…1750backed No	43c	216.5$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.41	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x141a…900abacked Yes	14c	212.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee6…c70bbacked Yes	21c	212.55$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57fe…804dbacked Yes	14c	210.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	9cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66a…f516backed Yes	57c	208.07$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda1c…0016backed Yes	57c	207$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9393…1947backed Yes	5c	206.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a3c…112abacked Yes	57c	205.02$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?this page
Will 'Wicked' gross between $105-115m opening weekend?Yes won
Will 'Wicked' gross between $125-135m opening weekend?No won
Will 'Wicked' gross between $95-105m opening weekend?No won
Will 'Wicked' gross less than $95m opening weekend?No won
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $135m opening weekend?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event