Token Launches · resolved market
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca8e27fb0d7110160670005cd63d2713406604bb79946f726a7cec94f78b173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x899d…07c8backed No | 3c | 10,412$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…8bc9backed No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 0c | 4,373$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…20c5backed No | 1c | 2,335$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…7ccebacked Yes | 17c | 2,164$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +265.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 23c | 1,939$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.81 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7b…7520backed No | 1c | 1,539$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 76c | 1,440$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.9 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 15c | 1,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…50aebacked No | 15c | 1,332$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +225.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c54…7e8cbacked No | 71c | 1,109$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…65f2backed No | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede7…0b30backed Yes | 39c | 588.96$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…9139backed Yes | 60c | 510.6$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…1faebacked Yes | 22c | 477.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…d41fbacked Yes | 26c | 456.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 63c | 453.67$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.87 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57b…c606backed No | 66c | 450$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1d…edfcbacked Yes | 34c | 450$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 60c | 401.53$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4294…ee29backed No | 65c | 397.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…2703backed No | 80c | 373.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5088…ac3abacked Yes | 33c | 364.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb508…cb11backed No | 74c | 361.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…0d5fbacked No | 48c | 358.84$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…dde5backed No | 72c | 348.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029f…1c69backed Yes | 33c | 343.06$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…a3a9backed Yes | 29c | 339.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…e808backed No | 71c | 338.03$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…22abbacked No | 77c | 332.03$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 28c | 317.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 305.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82e…f89cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0b…f90abacked Yes | 36c | 298.23$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715b…3ee1backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 65c | 290.54$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.36 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 51c | 282.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…6e1fbacked Yes | 30c | 275.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc833…0234backed Yes | 38c | 262.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed No | 69c | 254.95$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed Yes | 46c | 239.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…8e29backed Yes | 28c | 230.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 35c | 221.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b9abbacked No | 75c | 213.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…ec72backed Yes | 13c | 208.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…06abbacked Yes | 29c | 207.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.21 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 67c | 199.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132c…f69dbacked Yes | 28c | 191.43$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…8d10backed No | 14c | 186$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 25c | 180.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…62b8backed Yes | 48c | 179.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…aacdbacked No | 72c | 178.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 35c | 175.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | -14.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…e574backed Yes | 38c | 174.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76c…8ef2backed No | 69c | 174.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c30…cb7abacked No | 69c | 168.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 15c | 166.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x887e…4406backed No | 68c | 166.49$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…3b87backed No | 68c | 165.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…e222backed No | 72c | 164.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…b867backed Yes | 28c | 164.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…7109backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…559abacked No | 70c | 152.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…2fc0backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…9a5ebacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…ca7bbacked Yes | 32c | 148.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +207.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…b12fbacked No | 72c | 147.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…7d0abacked Yes | 31c | 145.16$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 31c | 141.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…81c2backed Yes | 27c | 139.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2335…d7d5backed No | 72c | 138.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…fcb0backed No | 72c | 138.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf403…5b97backed Yes | 33c | 137.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 21c | 136.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 23c | 123.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…dee8backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…7891backed Yes | 28c | 112.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…d16ebacked Yes | 28c | 109.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 53c | 107.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 28c | 100.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…6b8ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…6a24backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…35acbacked No | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6622…a384backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…18a7backed No | 73c | 88.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 22c | 83.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed No | 73c | 82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da8…99bcbacked No | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…91ecbacked Yes | 19c | 79.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +428.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde0…c1acbacked Yes | 28c | 78.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ce…dd52backed Yes | 38c | 76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c1…05f0backed No | 73c | 73.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a4…ea09backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…06b2backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.