Champions League · resolved market
Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3232ab9ba2aba5ee6cc9ac89fefbaa664bcc1a3e332fd27a68e8f6162806e8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 2c | 3,317$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.17 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 5c | 2,995$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.37 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe108…eb23backed Yes | 22c | 2,200$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.5 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 13c | 1,896$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.64 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…f1f8backed No | 77c | 1,263$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Yes | 1c | 1,061$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +363.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed Yes | 3c | 843.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 5c | 713.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.4 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 58c | 590.66$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.66 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 27c | 412.37$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.31 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 13c | 340$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.14 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Yes | 15c | 331.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.19 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 40c | 321.52$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 50c | 303.08$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 79c | 263.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 16c | 160.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 39c | 90.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…66acbacked No | 75c | 73.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 66c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 79c | 35.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc267…7309backed Yes | 79c | 26.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…94e9backed Yes | 38c | 26.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland City vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland City beat Boca Juniors?No won
- Will Boca Juniors beat Auckland City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.